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????“我們認(rèn)為消費(fèi)者對(duì)iPad及其它平板媒體等移動(dòng)PC替代品的熱情正在增長(zhǎng),。而這將顯著拉低家庭移動(dòng)個(gè)人電腦的銷量，特別是在成熟市場(chǎng)上,?！?/p>

????市場(chǎng)調(diào)研機(jī)構(gòu)高德納（Gartner）公司的研究總監(jiān)喬治?斯福勒發(fā)表了上述言論。他同時(shí)向客戶報(bào)告了一個(gè)壞消息：高德納此前曾預(yù)計(jì)2011年筆記本電腦的銷量增幅為15.9%,，現(xiàn)在看來(lái),，其增幅可能是10.5%,。

????可能除了蘋(píng)果（Apple）之外，對(duì)于各大PC制造商而言,，這都將是一個(gè)重大挫折,。

????斯福勒表示：“我們一度認(rèn)為，消費(fèi)者會(huì)購(gòu)買(mǎi)第二臺(tái),、第三臺(tái)移動(dòng)PC作為個(gè)人設(shè)備,，從而推動(dòng)移動(dòng)PC銷量持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)。不過(guò),，由于消費(fèi)者現(xiàn)在會(huì)選擇多媒體平板電腦,，或是其它移動(dòng)PC替代品作為其主要移動(dòng)設(shè)備，我們認(rèn)為消費(fèi)者不但會(huì)放棄添置移動(dòng)PC,，還有可能會(huì)延長(zhǎng)它們的使用壽命,。”

????高德納表示,，主流移動(dòng)PC——即運(yùn)行微軟（Microsoft）Windows系統(tǒng)的筆記本電腦,，不再是“酷”的代名詞了。它們的重量不夠輕,，而且也沒(méi)有全天續(xù)航的能力,。

????斯福勒的報(bào)告總結(jié)道，“隨著社交網(wǎng)絡(luò)的高速發(fā)展,，以上不足變得越來(lái)越明顯,，因?yàn)樯缃痪W(wǎng)絡(luò)依靠的正是持久而迅速的網(wǎng)絡(luò)連接。簡(jiǎn)而言之,，支持全天續(xù)航的筆記本還未出現(xiàn),，也就是說(shuō)‘移動(dòng)’PC最多不過(guò)是‘可以移動(dòng)的’PC?！?/p>

????完整的新聞稿可見(jiàn)高德納的官方網(wǎng)站,。

????譯者：項(xiàng)航

????"We expect growing consumer enthusiasm for mobile PC alternatives, such as the iPad and other media tablets, to dramatically slow home mobile PC sales, especially in mature markets."

????That's George Shiffler, research director at Gartner, Inc., giving his clients the bad news that the 15.9% growth his company had projected for notebook computer sales in 2011 is looking more like 10.5%.

????That's a real setback for all the major PC manufacturers. Except, perhaps, Apple (AAPL).

????"We once thought," Shiffler continues, "that mobile PC growth would continue to be sustained by consumers buying second and third mobile PCs as personal devices. However, we now believe that consumers are not only likely to forgo additional mobile PC buys but are also likely to extend the lifetimes of the mobile PCs they retain as they adopt media tablets and other mobile PC alternatives as their primary mobile device."

????Mainstream mobile PCs -- read: Microsoft (MSFT) Windows laptops -- are no longer the "cool" accessory, according to Gartner. They have not shed sufficient weight and they haven't achieved all-day battery life.

????"These limitations," the report concludes, "have become all the more apparent with the rapid spread of social networking, which thrives on constant and immediate connections. In short, all-day untethered computing has yet to materialize, and that has exposed the 'mobile' PC as merely a transportable PC at best."

????You can read the full Gartner press releasehere.