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專欄 - 蘋果2_0

蘋果電視把持流媒體細(xì)分市場(chǎng)

Philip Elmer-DeWitt 2013年07月19日

蘋果(Apple)公司內(nèi)部流傳著一個(gè)老笑話,,那就是史蒂夫·喬布斯周圍是一片“現(xiàn)實(shí)扭曲力場(chǎng)”:你離他太近的話,,就會(huì)相信他所說的話,。蘋果的數(shù)百萬(wàn)用戶中已經(jīng)有不少成了該公司的“信徒”,,而很多蘋果投資者也賺得盆滿缽滿,。不過,,Elmer-DeWitt認(rèn)為,,在報(bào)道蘋果公司時(shí)有點(diǎn)懷疑精神不是壞事,。聽他的應(yīng)該沒錯(cuò)。要知道,,他自從1982年就開始報(bào)道蘋果,、觀察史蒂夫·喬布斯經(jīng)營(yíng)該公司。
市場(chǎng)調(diào)研公司Frost & Sullivan最新的調(diào)查發(fā)現(xiàn),,人們?cè)诨ヂ?lián)網(wǎng)上觀看流媒體時(shí),,用得最多的設(shè)備還是蘋果電視,盡管它目前提供的內(nèi)容范圍相對(duì)狹隘,。

2012全球IP流媒體細(xì)分市場(chǎng)份額餅狀圖

????幾個(gè)月前,,我曾試著做一個(gè)類似的餅圖,但收效甚微,。因此,,我很高興能看看到Frost & Sullivan的專業(yè)市場(chǎng)研究員是怎么做的。

????同我一樣,,他們沒有把微軟(Microsoft)的Xbox包括在內(nèi),。這款產(chǎn)品具有某些相同的媒體功能,,但它主要還是一款游戲機(jī)。與我不同的是,,他們沒有忘掉TiVo,,也沒有忘記將Boxee、羅技(Logitech),、Liberty,、西部數(shù)據(jù)(Western Digital)、美國(guó)網(wǎng)件公司(Netgear),、美國(guó)無(wú)線電公司(RCA),、索尼(Sony)以及Vizio等公司推出的各式各樣的產(chǎn)品考慮在內(nèi)。

????另外一點(diǎn)不同在于,,他們沒有對(duì)銷量進(jìn)行預(yù)估,。而我做出過預(yù)測(cè)。

????下面是Frost & Sullivan對(duì)蘋果電視及其56%的市場(chǎng)份額所做出的評(píng)論:“目前為止,,蘋果占據(jù)了大半的市場(chǎng)份額,。雖然蘋果電視的節(jié)目?jī)?nèi)容相對(duì)較少,但目前市場(chǎng)的核心價(jià)值并非流媒體電視體驗(yàn),。蘋果電視的AirPlay功能設(shè)計(jì)精巧,,能極其方便地將筆記本或平板電腦中的視頻傳輸?shù)诫娨暺聊簧稀6鳤irPlay——注意,,并不是所謂的互聯(lián)網(wǎng)流媒體——正是用戶踴躍購(gòu)買蘋果電視的關(guān)鍵原因,。Roku排名第二。它擁有豐富的電視節(jié)目,,而且與時(shí)代華納有線(Time Warner Cable)等付費(fèi)電視臺(tái)簽署了一系列協(xié)議,。不過,這一細(xì)分市場(chǎng)的發(fā)展?jié)摿δ壳叭詿o(wú)法判斷,。我們要看到的是,,雖然99美元的機(jī)頂盒發(fā)展迅猛,但它的總裝機(jī)量非常少,?!?/p>

????他們補(bǔ)充道,谷歌(Google)“未涉足這個(gè)細(xì)分市場(chǎng),,這一點(diǎn)十分引人注目”,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

????譯者:項(xiàng)航

????I took a crack at a pie chart like this a couple months ago with limited success, so I was pleased to see how the professional market researchers at Frost & Sullivan do it.

????Like me, they left off Microsoft's (MSFT) Xbox, which has some of the same media functions but is primarily a game machine. Unlike me, they remembered to include TiVo (TiVO) and an assortment of products from Boxee, Logitech (LOGI), Liberty (LMCA) , Western Digital (WDC), Netgear (NTGR), RCA (GE) , Sony (SNE), Vizio and others.

????They didn't offer any sales estimates. I did.

????In any event, here's what they had to say about Apple's (AAPL) offering and its 56% share of the market:

????"Apple accounts for the majority of sales by far, despite offering relatively narrow content access – this is not (yet) a market being driven by the value proposition of a streaming TV experience. AppleTV's AirPlay feature was strategically crafted to simplify the process of transferring laptop and tablet displays to a TV screen, and it is AirPlaying – not OTT streaming – that is the primary reason for purchase of AppleTV devices. Roku is the second largest vendor in this space and is driving growth through a strong lineup of content as well as through a series of agreements with Pay TV vendors such as Time Warner Cable. The long-term potential for this segment does remain uncertain. It is important to note that while current?growth rates are high, the total installed base of $99 streaming boxes is quite low."

????Google (GOOG), they add, "is conspicuous by its absence in this segment."

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