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專欄 - 蘋(píng)果2_0

中國(guó)媒體圍剿蘋(píng)果的5大陰謀論

Philip Elmer-DeWitt 2013年04月01日

蘋(píng)果(Apple)公司內(nèi)部流傳著一個(gè)老笑話,,那就是史蒂夫·喬布斯周圍是一片“現(xiàn)實(shí)扭曲力場(chǎng)”:你離他太近的話,就會(huì)相信他所說(shuō)的話,。蘋(píng)果的數(shù)百萬(wàn)用戶中已經(jīng)有不少成了該公司的“信徒”,,而很多蘋(píng)果投資者也賺得盆滿缽滿。不過(guò),,Elmer-DeWitt認(rèn)為,,在報(bào)道蘋(píng)果公司時(shí)有點(diǎn)懷疑精神不是壞事。聽(tīng)他的應(yīng)該沒(méi)錯(cuò),。要知道,,他自從1982年就開(kāi)始報(bào)道蘋(píng)果、觀察史蒂夫·喬布斯經(jīng)營(yíng)該公司,。
自從中央電視臺(tái)3.15晚會(huì)曝光蘋(píng)果的歧視性售后服務(wù)政策開(kāi)始,,《人民日?qǐng)?bào)》連續(xù)多天發(fā)文炮轟蘋(píng)果。背后究竟是什么原因,?國(guó)外媒體分析認(rèn)為存在5種可能性,。

????事件尚未停止,。

????中國(guó)中央電視臺(tái)于3.15曝光了蘋(píng)果(Apple)的iPhone手機(jī)維修政策,之后便一直在進(jìn)行連續(xù)跟蹤報(bào)道,,不僅如此,,上周四,中國(guó)官方宣傳機(jī)構(gòu)《人民日?qǐng)?bào)》(People's Daily)用占半個(gè)版面的負(fù)面文章,,連續(xù)第四天對(duì)蘋(píng)果公司(Apple)展開(kāi)口誅筆伐,。

????據(jù)《基督教科學(xué)箴言報(bào)》(Christian Science Monitor)報(bào)道:“一則報(bào)道的內(nèi)容是被起訴至上海法院的蘋(píng)果公司侵害他人專利案。另外一篇報(bào)道則講述了《人民日?qǐng)?bào)》記者赴加州采訪蘋(píng)果高管碰壁一事,。第三篇報(bào)道則解釋了蘋(píng)果公司如何在世界各地避稅,。報(bào)社引用了《紐約時(shí)報(bào)》(The New York Times)的最新的文章,。”

????到底發(fā)生了什么,?我們至少聽(tīng)到了五種說(shuō)法:

????? 蘋(píng)果公司行為不端,。蘋(píng)果可能對(duì)中國(guó)用戶采用了低人一等的退貨與保修政策,確實(shí)存在歧視,。然而,,蘋(píng)果公司未能解釋清楚這些政策,對(duì)此我們無(wú)從知曉,。

????? 蘋(píng)果獻(xiàn)錯(cuò)了殷勤,。這也很有可能,盡管蘋(píng)果公司CEO蒂姆?庫(kù)克在去年訪問(wèn)北京時(shí),,已經(jīng)拜會(huì)了如今貴為中國(guó)國(guó)務(wù)院總理的李克強(qiáng),。

????? 中國(guó)打算扶持國(guó)內(nèi)智能手機(jī)制造商。確實(shí)有多家中國(guó)制造商在爭(zhēng)奪國(guó)內(nèi)智能手機(jī)業(yè)務(wù),,然而,,這些公司都沒(méi)有與蘋(píng)果公司的高端手機(jī)形成直接競(jìng)爭(zhēng)。

????? 中國(guó)試圖加強(qiáng)國(guó)有手機(jī)運(yùn)營(yíng)商的力量,。中國(guó)聯(lián)通(China Unicom)和中國(guó)電信(China Telecom)已經(jīng)在銷售iPhone手機(jī),,因此,最有可能受益的是中國(guó)移動(dòng)(China Mobile),。中國(guó)移動(dòng)是全球最大的手機(jī)運(yùn)營(yíng)商,,同時(shí)也是唯一一家尚未與蘋(píng)果公司達(dá)成交易的大型中國(guó)運(yùn)營(yíng)商,。

????? 中國(guó)在對(duì)美國(guó)國(guó)會(huì)對(duì)待華為(Huawei)與中興(ZTE)的態(tài)度進(jìn)行報(bào)復(fù),。去年,美國(guó)眾議院( House of Representatives)情報(bào)委員會(huì)(Intelligence Committee)發(fā)布了一份報(bào)告,,稱中國(guó)最成功的兩家電信公司存在安全風(fēng)險(xiǎn),,敦促美國(guó)公司停止與這兩家公司的業(yè)務(wù)。而這一次可能是中方的報(bào)復(fù),。

????《基督教科學(xué)箴言報(bào)》似乎更支持最后一種說(shuō)法,。北京邁博瑞咨詢公司(Marbridge Consulting)董事馬克?納特金對(duì)該報(bào)表示:“事情已經(jīng)過(guò)去了足夠長(zhǎng)的時(shí)間,現(xiàn)在這么干不會(huì)讓他們顯得睚眥必報(bào),。但它卻可以明確地告訴美國(guó)人,,如果你想給我們的公司找麻煩,我們也可以‘禮尚往來(lái)’,?!?/p>

????另外一種說(shuō)法:也是很有可能的。許多人認(rèn)為,,央視試圖通過(guò)事先安排名人發(fā)布反對(duì)蘋(píng)果公司的微博,,激起公眾的憤怒,,結(jié)果陰謀被曝光,讓央視覺(jué)得名譽(yù)掃地,,因此中國(guó)國(guó)家媒體的各個(gè)機(jī)構(gòu)一直試圖通過(guò)擴(kuò)大打擊,,來(lái)挽回顏面。聽(tīng)起來(lái)有點(diǎn)牽強(qiáng),。我們暫且把它叫做第5.5種說(shuō)法吧,。背景信息,請(qǐng)點(diǎn)擊:

?????中國(guó)國(guó)家電視臺(tái)安排名人攻擊蘋(píng)果被曝光

?????官媒圍剿蘋(píng)果,,粉絲群起聲援

????譯者:劉進(jìn)龍/汪皓

????The drumbeat hasn't stopped.

????Not only has China's Central TV been running regular follow ups to its March 15 expose on Apple's (AAPL) iPhone repair policies, but on Thursday People's Daily-- the Communist Party's official propaganda organ -- attacked the company for the fourth day in a row, devoting half a page to negative articles.

????"One reported on a patent infringement suit lodged against Apple in a Shanghai court," according to the Christian Science Monitor. "Another recounted a People's Daily reporter's failure to secure an interview with an Apple executive in California, and yet another explained how Apple avoids taxes around the world. The paper lifted that last article from The New York Times."

????What's going on? We've heard at least five theories:

????? Apple is behaving badly. It's possible that the company does in fact discriminate against Chinese users with second-rate return and warranty policies. We don't really know because Apple has done such a bad job explaining what those policies are.

????? Apple hasn't courted the right officials. That's also possible, although when he visited Beijing last year, CEO Tim Cook made a point of meeting Li Keqiang, and Mr. Li is now China's prime minister.

????? China is trying to bolster its domestic smartphone makers. It's true that there are a number of Chinese manufacturers fighting for a share of the domestic smartphone business, but none of them really compete directly with Apple's high-end phones.

????? China is trying to strengthen the hand of its state-owned mobile phone operators. China Unicom (CHU) and China Telecom (CHA) already sell iPhones, so the most likely beneficiary would China Mobile (CHL), the world's largest carrier and the only major Chinese operator that still hasn't cut a deal with Apple.

????? China is retaliating for Congress' treatment of Huawei and ZTE. Last year, the House of Representatives' Intelligence Committee issued a report labeling China's two flagship telecom companies a security risk and urging U.S. firms not to do business with them. This would be payback.

????That last theory is the one the Monitor seems to favor. "Just enough time has elapsed that they can avoid it looking like tit for tat," Mark Natkin, director of Beijing-based Marbridge Consulting, told the paper. "But they can make it plain that if you want to make things difficult for our companies, we can do the same for yours."

????One last thought: It's also possible, as some have suggested, that CCTV was embarrassed when it was caught trying to stir-up public outrage by planting anti-Apple posts in the Chinese version of Twitter and that the various organs of Chinese state-run media have been trying to save face ever since by doubling down on their campaign. Seems far-fetched. Call it Theory 5.5. For background, see:

????? Chinese TV caught asking celebrities to bash Apple

????? Chinese iPhone loyalists blast Party's anti-Apple campaign

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