
? 即便特朗普在“真相社交”(Truth Social)上發(fā)文宣布暫停加征關(guān)稅,且美國(guó)財(cái)政部長(zhǎng)斯科特·貝森特(Scott Bessent)發(fā)表講話安撫市場(chǎng)稱美國(guó)并未卷入貿(mào)易戰(zhàn),,主要股指紛紛上漲,,但目前仍無(wú)人能高枕無(wú)憂。歸根結(jié)底,,在經(jīng)歷了多日的全球市場(chǎng)動(dòng)蕩之后,,此次關(guān)稅政策的暫時(shí)擱置雖將帶來(lái)短暫的提振,但不確定性依然存在,。
本周三,,特朗普在“真相社交”上發(fā)文,宣布暫停加征關(guān)稅(為期90天),,原本令人擔(dān)憂的下跌行情迅速轉(zhuǎn)為上漲,。特朗普表示,在關(guān)稅凍結(jié)期間,,將對(duì)相關(guān)對(duì)象實(shí)施10%的普遍關(guān)稅政策,。
Bolvin Wealth Management總裁吉娜·博爾文(Gina Bolvin)在一份聲明中表示,市場(chǎng)在政策發(fā)布后即刻展現(xiàn)的強(qiáng)勁反彈表明,,此次宣布是“我們翹首以盼的關(guān)鍵時(shí)刻”,。投資者將特朗普暫停關(guān)稅的決策視為美國(guó)貿(mào)易政策朝著更加明晰的方向邁出的關(guān)鍵一步,。
博爾文還稱,考慮到紐約梅隆銀行(Bank of New York Mellon),、貝萊德集團(tuán)(BlackRock),、摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase)和富國(guó)銀行(Wells Fargo)等主要金融機(jī)構(gòu)將于周五公布財(cái)報(bào),此時(shí)發(fā)布這一消息“再好不過(guò)”了,。
博爾文補(bǔ)充道:“此次暫停加征關(guān)稅有望為企業(yè)的業(yè)績(jī)指引提供更為明朗的背景環(huán)境,,為那些尋求方向感的投資者們帶來(lái)些許慰藉,?!?/p>
不過(guò),此次暫停只是暫時(shí)的,。此外,,特朗普政府將中國(guó)排除在此次臨時(shí)關(guān)稅下調(diào)的范疇之外。
盡管如此,,對(duì)于90天暫停期屆滿后的情況仍無(wú)定論,,這意味著未來(lái)仍有可能出現(xiàn)市場(chǎng)波動(dòng)。如今部分投資者將不得不對(duì)本周為止損而采取的行動(dòng)進(jìn)行復(fù)盤(pán),。
博爾文寫(xiě)道:“我對(duì)那些昨日清倉(cāng)離場(chǎng)的投資者感同身受,,他們?nèi)缃裰荒茉趫?chǎng)外眼睜睜看著市場(chǎng)反彈?!彼€補(bǔ)充道,,在充滿不確定性的時(shí)期,制定一套嚴(yán)謹(jǐn)?shù)?、足以抵御由新聞?lì)^條引發(fā)的市場(chǎng)大幅波動(dòng)的長(zhǎng)期策略是最佳選擇,。
Harbor Capital投資組合經(jīng)理、紐約聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備銀行市場(chǎng)部前成員杰克·舒梅爾(Jake Schurmeier)表示,,暫停加征關(guān)稅這一消息固然是好消息,,但并不能消除市場(chǎng)整體所面臨的不確定性。
舒梅爾告訴《財(cái)富》雜志:"盡管市場(chǎng)可能會(huì)在未來(lái)幾個(gè)交易日里迎來(lái)一波上漲行情,,但我認(rèn)為已經(jīng)造成了永久性損害,。”
Bankrate高級(jí)經(jīng)濟(jì)分析師馬克·哈姆里克(Mark Hamrick)在一份聲明中表示,,投資者顯然對(duì)“?;鹣ⅰ背謿g迎態(tài)度,但還需關(guān)注美國(guó)與其他國(guó)家之間的談判能否取得成功,。
財(cái)政部長(zhǎng)斯科特·貝森特表示,,政府與各國(guó)之間的談判將遵循“量身定制”的原則,但對(duì)于這些談判的具體推進(jìn)方式以及預(yù)期達(dá)成的成功結(jié)果,,他幾乎沒(méi)有透露任何細(xì)節(jié),。
哈姆里克認(rèn)為,,“金融市場(chǎng)的大出血”和“近乎買(mǎi)家集體退場(chǎng)”的狀況已經(jīng)對(duì)股票、債券和美元造成了沖擊,。
哈姆里克在一份聲明中寫(xiě)道:“10年期美國(guó)國(guó)債收益率飆升已然敲響了警鐘,。即便最壞的情況未能完全避免,其爆發(fā)的時(shí)間點(diǎn)也已被推遲,?!?/p>
“現(xiàn)在,焦點(diǎn)轉(zhuǎn)向包括中國(guó)在內(nèi)的數(shù)十個(gè)國(guó)家將會(huì)采取何種行動(dòng),?!保ㄘ?cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
? 即便特朗普在“真相社交”(Truth Social)上發(fā)文宣布暫停加征關(guān)稅,且美國(guó)財(cái)政部長(zhǎng)斯科特·貝森特(Scott Bessent)發(fā)表講話安撫市場(chǎng)稱美國(guó)并未卷入貿(mào)易戰(zhàn),,主要股指紛紛上漲,,但目前仍無(wú)人能高枕無(wú)憂。歸根結(jié)底,,在經(jīng)歷了多日的全球市場(chǎng)動(dòng)蕩之后,,此次關(guān)稅政策的暫時(shí)擱置雖將帶來(lái)短暫的提振,但不確定性依然存在,。
本周三,,特朗普在“真相社交”上發(fā)文,宣布暫停加征關(guān)稅(為期90天),,原本令人擔(dān)憂的下跌行情迅速轉(zhuǎn)為上漲,。特朗普表示,在關(guān)稅凍結(jié)期間,,將對(duì)相關(guān)對(duì)象實(shí)施10%的普遍關(guān)稅政策,。
Bolvin Wealth Management總裁吉娜·博爾文(Gina Bolvin)在一份聲明中表示,市場(chǎng)在政策發(fā)布后即刻展現(xiàn)的強(qiáng)勁反彈表明,,此次宣布是“我們翹首以盼的關(guān)鍵時(shí)刻”,。投資者將特朗普暫停關(guān)稅的決策視為美國(guó)貿(mào)易政策朝著更加明晰的方向邁出的關(guān)鍵一步。
博爾文還稱,,考慮到紐約梅隆銀行(Bank of New York Mellon),、貝萊德集團(tuán)(BlackRock)、摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase)和富國(guó)銀行(Wells Fargo)等主要金融機(jī)構(gòu)將于周五公布財(cái)報(bào),,此時(shí)發(fā)布這一消息“再好不過(guò)”了,。
博爾文補(bǔ)充道:“此次暫停加征關(guān)稅有望為企業(yè)的業(yè)績(jī)指引提供更為明朗的背景環(huán)境,為那些尋求方向感的投資者們帶來(lái)些許慰藉,?!?/p>
不過(guò),此次暫停只是暫時(shí)的,。此外,,特朗普政府將中國(guó)排除在此次臨時(shí)關(guān)稅下調(diào)的范疇之外,。
盡管如此,對(duì)于90天暫停期屆滿后的情況仍無(wú)定論,,這意味著未來(lái)仍有可能出現(xiàn)市場(chǎng)波動(dòng),。如今部分投資者將不得不對(duì)本周為止損而采取的行動(dòng)進(jìn)行復(fù)盤(pán)。
博爾文寫(xiě)道:“我對(duì)那些昨日清倉(cāng)離場(chǎng)的投資者感同身受,,他們?nèi)缃裰荒茉趫?chǎng)外眼睜睜看著市場(chǎng)反彈,。”她還補(bǔ)充道,,在充滿不確定性的時(shí)期,,制定一套嚴(yán)謹(jǐn)?shù)摹⒆阋缘钟尚侣勵(lì)^條引發(fā)的市場(chǎng)大幅波動(dòng)的長(zhǎng)期策略是最佳選擇,。
Harbor Capital投資組合經(jīng)理,、紐約聯(lián)邦儲(chǔ)備銀行市場(chǎng)部前成員杰克·舒梅爾(Jake Schurmeier)表示,暫停加征關(guān)稅這一消息固然是好消息,,但并不能消除市場(chǎng)整體所面臨的不確定性。
舒梅爾告訴《財(cái)富》雜志:"盡管市場(chǎng)可能會(huì)在未來(lái)幾個(gè)交易日里迎來(lái)一波上漲行情,,但我認(rèn)為已經(jīng)造成了永久性損害,。”
Bankrate高級(jí)經(jīng)濟(jì)分析師馬克·哈姆里克(Mark Hamrick)在一份聲明中表示,,投資者顯然對(duì)“?;鹣ⅰ背謿g迎態(tài)度,但還需關(guān)注美國(guó)與其他國(guó)家之間的談判能否取得成功,。
財(cái)政部長(zhǎng)斯科特·貝森特表示,,政府與各國(guó)之間的談判將遵循“量身定制”的原則,但對(duì)于這些談判的具體推進(jìn)方式以及預(yù)期達(dá)成的成功結(jié)果,,他幾乎沒(méi)有透露任何細(xì)節(jié),。
哈姆里克認(rèn)為,“金融市場(chǎng)的大出血”和“近乎買(mǎi)家集體退場(chǎng)”的狀況已經(jīng)對(duì)股票,、債券和美元造成了沖擊,。
哈姆里克在一份聲明中寫(xiě)道:“10年期美國(guó)國(guó)債收益率飆升已然敲響了警鐘。即便最壞的情況未能完全避免,,其爆發(fā)的時(shí)間點(diǎn)也已被推遲,。”
“現(xiàn)在,,焦點(diǎn)轉(zhuǎn)向包括中國(guó)在內(nèi)的數(shù)十個(gè)國(guó)家將會(huì)采取何種行動(dòng),。”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
? No one is out of the woods yet, even as major indexes shot up following President Trump’s Truth Social post announcing a pause on tariffs, and remarks from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reassuring markets that the U.S. is not in a trade war. Ultimately, the pause will provide a temporary lift after days of global market carnage, but rampant uncertainty remains.
The dreaded red turned green after President Trump pressed pause—albeit temporarily, for 90 days—on some of his tariffs in a Truth Social post on Wednesday. During the tariff freeze, a 10% universal tariff will be in effect, Trump said.
The immediate positive reaction shows the announcement was the “pivotal moment we’ve been waiting for,” Gina Bolvin, president of Bolvin Wealth Management, said in a statement. Investors see Trump’s pause as a step toward more clarity on the administration’s trade policy.
Bolvin said the timing also “couldn’t be better” given major financial institutions including Bank of New York Mellon, BlackRock, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells Fargo report earnings on Friday.
“This pause may provide companies with a clearer backdrop for their guidance, offering some relief to a market hungry for direction,” added Bolvin.
Still, the pause is just for now. Furthermore, the Trump administration carved out China from its temporary drawdown, which will now see its tariff rate increase to 125% “based on the lack of respect” that Chinese leaders have shown the U.S., the president wrote on social media.
Still, there was no word on what would happen after the 90-day halt, which means volatility could potentially be ahead. And some investors will now be forced to react to the actions they took this week to stop the bleeding.
“I empathize with those who sold out yesterday and are now watching the rebound from the sidelines,” wrote Bolvin. A disciplined long-term strategy that can withstand headline-driven market whipsaw is best during unpredictable times, she added.
Jake Schurmeier, portfolio manager at Harbor Capital and a former member of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s Markets Group, said news of the pause was good, but doesn’t eliminate the overarching uncertainty.
“We likely go higher for a few days, but I think permanent damage has been done,” Schurmeier told Fortune.
Bankrate senior economic analyst Mark Hamrick said in a statement investors are obviously embracing “word of a cease-fire” but will have to see if negotiations between the U.S. and other countries are successful.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said negotiations between the administration and each country would be “bespoke,” but offered scant details on how those negotiations might play out and what a successful outcome might look like.
According to Hamrick, the “bloodletting in the financial markets” and the “virtual near-buyers strike” that had emerged hit stocks, bonds, and the dollar.
“The spike in the yield of the 10-year Treasury note was setting off alarm bells,” wrote Hamrick in a statement. “Something akin to a worst-case scenario has been delayed, if not averted.”
“Now, the focus turns to what happens with scores of countries including China.”