
貝萊德集團(tuán)首席執(zhí)行官拉里·芬克表示,,與他交談過(guò)的大多數(shù)首席執(zhí)行官都認(rèn)為美國(guó)已步入經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退期,,并警告稱,,由于美國(guó)總統(tǒng)唐納德·特朗普的關(guān)稅政策擾亂了世界經(jīng)濟(jì),股市后續(xù)存在進(jìn)一步下跌的可能性,。
72歲的芬克周一在紐約經(jīng)濟(jì)俱樂(lè)部接受采訪時(shí)表示:“就在此刻,,我們探討當(dāng)下經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)時(shí),美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)已然呈現(xiàn)出走弱態(tài)勢(shì),?!彼€補(bǔ)充道,預(yù)估在接下來(lái)的幾個(gè)月,,經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩的趨勢(shì)會(huì)愈發(fā)明顯,。
芬克稱,通貨膨脹很可能會(huì)持續(xù)維持在高位,,這讓人們對(duì)美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)今年多次降息的預(yù)期存疑,。他以航空公司高管所反饋的出行需求下滑為例,表明市場(chǎng)擔(dān)憂情緒正不斷加劇,。
芬克說(shuō):“與我交談過(guò)的大多數(shù)首席執(zhí)行官均表示,,美國(guó)極有可能已步入經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退期?!?/p>
上周,,在特朗普公布一系列出人意料、規(guī)模廣泛且極為復(fù)雜的關(guān)稅政策后,,全球股市劇烈震蕩。投資者紛紛拋售風(fēng)險(xiǎn)資產(chǎn),,轉(zhuǎn)而搶購(gòu)債券,,尋求避險(xiǎn),并押注美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)將采取降息舉措,。
芬克表示:“從長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)角度來(lái)分析,,我認(rèn)為當(dāng)前的市場(chǎng)狀況更多地呈現(xiàn)出買入契機(jī),而非拋售時(shí)機(jī),。這并不排除股市從現(xiàn)有點(diǎn)位進(jìn)一步下挫20%的可能性,。”
在芬克看來(lái),,隨著消費(fèi)者以及整體經(jīng)濟(jì)逐步適應(yīng)關(guān)稅政策帶來(lái)的沖擊,,美元或?qū)⒆呷酰M(fèi)層面也可能出現(xiàn)下滑,。
從長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)來(lái)看,,芬克認(rèn)為特朗普會(huì)將工作重心聚焦于推動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的議程之上。
‘最大的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)’
周一,,市場(chǎng)持續(xù)呈現(xiàn)出劇烈震蕩的態(tài)勢(shì),,與此同時(shí),,素有“恐懼指數(shù)”之稱的芝加哥期權(quán)交易所波動(dòng)率指數(shù)(VIX)大幅攀升,已觸及疫情時(shí)期的水平,。摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase & Co.)首席執(zhí)行官杰米·戴蒙(Jamie Dimon)警告稱,,倘若當(dāng)前問(wèn)題無(wú)法迅速得到解決,美國(guó)長(zhǎng)期以來(lái)構(gòu)建的經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)盟或?qū)⒚媾R“災(zāi)難性”的分裂風(fēng)險(xiǎn),。
早在上周股市遭遇拋售狂潮之前,,芬克便已對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域中彌漫的焦慮情緒發(fā)表過(guò)評(píng)論。他在上個(gè)月致投資者的年度信中表示,,當(dāng)前對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的憂慮程度遠(yuǎn)超“近年來(lái)的任何時(shí)期”,。
今年1月,芬克曾斷言,,認(rèn)為“通貨膨脹已過(guò)峰值”的觀點(diǎn)是“我們?cè)谌蚍秶鷥?nèi)面臨的最大風(fēng)險(xiǎn)”,。
截至12月31日,貝萊德管理的資產(chǎn)規(guī)模高達(dá)11.6萬(wàn)億美元,。在過(guò)去一年里,,為進(jìn)一步拓展在私募市場(chǎng)的業(yè)務(wù)版圖,該公司斥資近300億美元完成了三筆收購(gòu),。該公司將于4月11日公布第一季度財(cái)報(bào),。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
貝萊德集團(tuán)首席執(zhí)行官拉里·芬克表示,與他交談過(guò)的大多數(shù)首席執(zhí)行官都認(rèn)為美國(guó)已步入經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退期,,并警告稱,,由于美國(guó)總統(tǒng)唐納德·特朗普的關(guān)稅政策擾亂了世界經(jīng)濟(jì),股市后續(xù)存在進(jìn)一步下跌的可能性,。
72歲的芬克周一在紐約經(jīng)濟(jì)俱樂(lè)部接受采訪時(shí)表示:“就在此刻,,我們探討當(dāng)下經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)時(shí),美國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)已然呈現(xiàn)出走弱態(tài)勢(shì),?!彼€補(bǔ)充道,預(yù)估在接下來(lái)的幾個(gè)月,,經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩的趨勢(shì)會(huì)愈發(fā)明顯,。
芬克稱,通貨膨脹很可能會(huì)持續(xù)維持在高位,,這讓人們對(duì)美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)今年多次降息的預(yù)期存疑,。他以航空公司高管所反饋的出行需求下滑為例,表明市場(chǎng)擔(dān)憂情緒正不斷加劇,。
芬克說(shuō):“與我交談過(guò)的大多數(shù)首席執(zhí)行官均表示,,美國(guó)極有可能已步入經(jīng)濟(jì)衰退期?!?/p>
上周,,在特朗普公布一系列出人意料,、規(guī)模廣泛且極為復(fù)雜的關(guān)稅政策后,全球股市劇烈震蕩,。投資者紛紛拋售風(fēng)險(xiǎn)資產(chǎn),,轉(zhuǎn)而搶購(gòu)債券,尋求避險(xiǎn),,并押注美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)將采取降息舉措,。
芬克表示:“從長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)角度來(lái)分析,我認(rèn)為當(dāng)前的市場(chǎng)狀況更多地呈現(xiàn)出買入契機(jī),,而非拋售時(shí)機(jī),。這并不排除股市從現(xiàn)有點(diǎn)位進(jìn)一步下挫20%的可能性?!?/p>
在芬克看來(lái),,隨著消費(fèi)者以及整體經(jīng)濟(jì)逐步適應(yīng)關(guān)稅政策帶來(lái)的沖擊,美元或?qū)⒆呷?,消費(fèi)層面也可能出現(xiàn)下滑,。
從長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)來(lái)看,芬克認(rèn)為特朗普會(huì)將工作重心聚焦于推動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的議程之上,。
‘最大的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)’
周一,,市場(chǎng)持續(xù)呈現(xiàn)出劇烈震蕩的態(tài)勢(shì),與此同時(shí),,素有“恐懼指數(shù)”之稱的芝加哥期權(quán)交易所波動(dòng)率指數(shù)(VIX)大幅攀升,,已觸及疫情時(shí)期的水平。摩根大通(JPMorgan Chase & Co.)首席執(zhí)行官杰米·戴蒙(Jamie Dimon)警告稱,,倘若當(dāng)前問(wèn)題無(wú)法迅速得到解決,,美國(guó)長(zhǎng)期以來(lái)構(gòu)建的經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)盟或?qū)⒚媾R“災(zāi)難性”的分裂風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。
早在上周股市遭遇拋售狂潮之前,,芬克便已對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)領(lǐng)域中彌漫的焦慮情緒發(fā)表過(guò)評(píng)論。他在上個(gè)月致投資者的年度信中表示,,當(dāng)前對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的憂慮程度遠(yuǎn)超“近年來(lái)的任何時(shí)期”,。
今年1月,芬克曾斷言,,認(rèn)為“通貨膨脹已過(guò)峰值”的觀點(diǎn)是“我們?cè)谌蚍秶鷥?nèi)面臨的最大風(fēng)險(xiǎn)”,。
截至12月31日,貝萊德管理的資產(chǎn)規(guī)模高達(dá)11.6萬(wàn)億美元,。在過(guò)去一年里,,為進(jìn)一步拓展在私募市場(chǎng)的業(yè)務(wù)版圖,該公司斥資近300億美元完成了三筆收購(gòu),。該公司將于4月11日公布第一季度財(cái)報(bào),。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
BlackRock Inc. Chief Executive Officer Larry Fink said most CEOs he talks to think the US is in a recession, warning that stock markets could decline further as President Donald Trump’s tariff policies destabilize the world economy.
“The economy is weakening as we speak,” Fink, 72, said in an interview Monday at the Economic Club of New York, adding that he foresees more of an economic slowdown in the coming months.
Inflation is likely to be elevated, Fink said, casting doubt on the Federal Reserve cutting rates multiple times this year. As an example of worries spiking, Fink said he’s already heard from airline executives about the decline in travel demand.
“Most CEOs I talk to would say we are probably in a recession right now,” Fink said.
Global equity markets were hit with a stampede of selling last week, wiping out trillions of value after President Donald Trump unveiled a raft of unexpectedly sweeping and complicated tariffs. Investors dumped risk and raced to buy bonds, seeking safety and wagering on the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates.
“I would say in the long run, this is more of a buying opportunity than it is a selling opportunity,” Fink said. “That doesn’t mean we can’t fall another 20% from here, too.”
The US dollar is likely to weaken and consumption will probably decline as consumers and the wider economy adjust to the magnitude of the tariffs, according to Fink.
Longer term, Fink said he thinks Trump will focus on a growth agenda.
‘Biggest Risk’
Markets continued to convulse Monday, while the VIX Index, or fear gauge, rose to pandemic-era levels. JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO Jamie Dimon warned that without a quick resolution, there would be a potentially “disastrous” fragmentation of the nation’s long-term economic alliances.
Even before last week’s selloff, Fink had commented on economic anxiety pervading the economy. There’s more unease about the economy than at “any time in recent memory,” he said in his annual letter to investors last month.
In January, Fink said the belief that we’re “past the high point of inflation” is “the biggest risk we have worldwide.”
BlackRock managed $11.6 trillion of assets as of Dec. 31, and the firm committed almost $30 billion on a trio of acquisitions in the past year to push further into private markets. The company will report first-quarter earnings on April 11.