
只是一個(gè)瘋狂的巧合,,抑或不是,?
伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司(Berkshire Hathaway)股票投資組合中的一個(gè)引人注目的細(xì)節(jié)引起了華爾街的注意,原因是投資者正在尋找首席執(zhí)行官沃倫·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)下一步可能采取的行動(dòng)的線(xiàn)索,。
馬里蘭大學(xué)(University of Maryland)羅伯特·H·史密斯商學(xué)院金融學(xué)教授大衛(wèi)·卡斯(David Kass)上周三發(fā)推表示:“截至2024年6月30日,,伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司持有4億股蘋(píng)果公司股票和4億股可口可樂(lè)公司(Coca-Cola)股票。如果巴菲特喜歡整數(shù),,那么他可能不會(huì)計(jì)劃出售額外的蘋(píng)果公司股票,。”
在給《財(cái)富》雜志的一封電子郵件中,,卡斯承認(rèn),,數(shù)字可能只是巧合,但他表示,,他認(rèn)為巴菲特是在暗示他已經(jīng)完成了拋售,,并“計(jì)劃無(wú)限期持有蘋(píng)果股票”,就像他持有可口可樂(lè)的股票一樣,。
他補(bǔ)充說(shuō):“既然巴菲特說(shuō)過(guò)首席執(zhí)行官是首席風(fēng)險(xiǎn)官,,我認(rèn)為巴菲特將蘋(píng)果在投資組合中的比重從50%降至30%,是一種謹(jǐn)慎的做法,?!彼赋觯讼?哈撒韋公司最初對(duì)蘋(píng)果的投資約為300億美元,,如今已增至約1800億美元,。
本月早些時(shí)候,巴菲特宣布將其所持蘋(píng)果公司股份減持近50%,,巴菲特的追隨者以及所有投資者一直對(duì)巴菲特的潛在意圖感到困惑,。雖然分析師認(rèn)為他不會(huì)完全拋售剩余的蘋(píng)果股份,但第二季度的大幅減持引發(fā)了人們對(duì)進(jìn)一步減持的質(zhì)疑,。
誠(chéng)然,,雖然伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司目前持有的蘋(píng)果和可口可樂(lè)股份數(shù)量相同,但這些股份的價(jià)值卻大不相同,。截至上周五收盤(pán)價(jià),,蘋(píng)果股份價(jià)值904億美元,而可口可樂(lè)股份價(jià)值277億美元,。
據(jù)卡斯稱(chēng),,截至第二季度末,蘋(píng)果占伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司股票投資的近50%,,而可口可樂(lè)只占9%,。
但由于可口可樂(lè)是巴菲特持倉(cāng)時(shí)間最長(zhǎng),、歷史最悠久的股票,而且?guī)资陙?lái)一直保持穩(wěn)定,,其持有的蘋(píng)果股票的對(duì)稱(chēng)性太過(guò)顯著,,不容忽視,美國(guó)消費(fèi)者新聞與商業(yè)頻道(CNBC)和《華爾街日?qǐng)?bào)》上周也對(duì)卡斯的推文進(jìn)行了報(bào)道,。
此外,,巴菲特還是可口可樂(lè)的鐵桿粉絲,據(jù)報(bào)道,,他每天要喝五罐可樂(lè),,同時(shí)他也是iPhone用戶(hù),并稱(chēng)贊蘋(píng)果公司的用戶(hù)忠誠(chéng)度很高,。
伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司的代表沒(méi)有立即回復(fù)置評(píng)請(qǐng)求,。
分析師將蘋(píng)果股票出售視為一種風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理舉措,他們指出,,按估值計(jì)算,,蘋(píng)果股票已在其投資組合中占據(jù)了很大比重。事實(shí)上,,在此之前,,伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司也采取了削減投資組合的舉措。今年5月,,伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司披露出售了1億股蘋(píng)果股票,,占當(dāng)時(shí)所持股份的13%。
CFRA Research分析師凱茜·塞弗特(Cathy Seifert)上周對(duì)《財(cái)富》雜志表示,,蘋(píng)果最近的股票拋售代表了“典型的投資組合再平衡”,。
她解釋說(shuō),由于伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司的投資組合嚴(yán)重偏向蘋(píng)果等少數(shù)幾只股票,,存在過(guò)度集中的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),。這也可能涉及一些獲利回吐,因?yàn)榇舜螔伿郯l(fā)生在大盤(pán)屢創(chuàng)新高的時(shí)候,。
截至第二季度末,,股票拋售使伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司的現(xiàn)金儲(chǔ)備達(dá)到了2770億美元的新高,卡斯在X上指出,,這幾乎相當(dāng)于其2850億美元的股票投資總額,。
不過(guò),盡管巴菲特最近采取了一些舉措,,但人們?nèi)哉J(rèn)為他更傾向于買(mǎi)入并持有,,而且與同行相比,他并沒(méi)有進(jìn)行過(guò)多的重組。
卡斯發(fā)推表示:“在過(guò)去的十年里,,伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司的投資組合平均周轉(zhuǎn)率一直很低,通常在每年5%到10%之間,。過(guò)去10年,,大型資本管理股票基金的平均周轉(zhuǎn)率通常在每年30%至60%之間?!保ㄘ?cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
只是一個(gè)瘋狂的巧合,,抑或不是?
伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司(Berkshire Hathaway)股票投資組合中的一個(gè)引人注目的細(xì)節(jié)引起了華爾街的注意,,原因是投資者正在尋找首席執(zhí)行官沃倫·巴菲特(Warren Buffett)下一步可能采取的行動(dòng)的線(xiàn)索,。
馬里蘭大學(xué)(University of Maryland)羅伯特·H·史密斯商學(xué)院金融學(xué)教授大衛(wèi)·卡斯(David Kass)上周三發(fā)推表示:“截至2024年6月30日,伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司持有4億股蘋(píng)果公司股票和4億股可口可樂(lè)公司(Coca-Cola)股票,。如果巴菲特喜歡整數(shù),,那么他可能不會(huì)計(jì)劃出售額外的蘋(píng)果公司股票?!?
在給《財(cái)富》雜志的一封電子郵件中,,卡斯承認(rèn),數(shù)字可能只是巧合,,但他表示,,他認(rèn)為巴菲特是在暗示他已經(jīng)完成了拋售,并“計(jì)劃無(wú)限期持有蘋(píng)果股票”,,就像他持有可口可樂(lè)的股票一樣,。
他補(bǔ)充說(shuō):“既然巴菲特說(shuō)過(guò)首席執(zhí)行官是首席風(fēng)險(xiǎn)官,我認(rèn)為巴菲特將蘋(píng)果在投資組合中的比重從50%降至30%,,是一種謹(jǐn)慎的做法,。”他指出,,伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司最初對(duì)蘋(píng)果的投資約為300億美元,,如今已增至約1800億美元。
本月早些時(shí)候,,巴菲特宣布將其所持蘋(píng)果公司股份減持近50%,,巴菲特的追隨者以及所有投資者一直對(duì)巴菲特的潛在意圖感到困惑。雖然分析師認(rèn)為他不會(huì)完全拋售剩余的蘋(píng)果股份,,但第二季度的大幅減持引發(fā)了人們對(duì)進(jìn)一步減持的質(zhì)疑,。
誠(chéng)然,雖然伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司目前持有的蘋(píng)果和可口可樂(lè)股份數(shù)量相同,,但這些股份的價(jià)值卻大不相同,。截至上周五收盤(pán)價(jià),蘋(píng)果股份價(jià)值904億美元,,而可口可樂(lè)股份價(jià)值277億美元,。
據(jù)卡斯稱(chēng),,截至第二季度末,蘋(píng)果占伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司股票投資的近50%,,而可口可樂(lè)只占9%,。
但由于可口可樂(lè)是巴菲特持倉(cāng)時(shí)間最長(zhǎng)、歷史最悠久的股票,,而且?guī)资陙?lái)一直保持穩(wěn)定,,其持有的蘋(píng)果股票的對(duì)稱(chēng)性太過(guò)顯著,不容忽視,,美國(guó)消費(fèi)者新聞與商業(yè)頻道(CNBC)和《華爾街日?qǐng)?bào)》上周也對(duì)卡斯的推文進(jìn)行了報(bào)道,。
此外,巴菲特還是可口可樂(lè)的鐵桿粉絲,,據(jù)報(bào)道,,他每天要喝五罐可樂(lè),同時(shí)他也是iPhone用戶(hù),,并稱(chēng)贊蘋(píng)果公司的用戶(hù)忠誠(chéng)度很高,。
伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司的代表沒(méi)有立即回復(fù)置評(píng)請(qǐng)求。
分析師將蘋(píng)果股票出售視為一種風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理舉措,,他們指出,,按估值計(jì)算,蘋(píng)果股票已在其投資組合中占據(jù)了很大比重,。事實(shí)上,,在此之前,伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司也采取了削減投資組合的舉措,。今年5月,,伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司披露出售了1億股蘋(píng)果股票,占當(dāng)時(shí)所持股份的13%,。
CFRA Research分析師凱茜·塞弗特(Cathy Seifert)上周對(duì)《財(cái)富》雜志表示,,蘋(píng)果最近的股票拋售代表了“典型的投資組合再平衡”。
她解釋說(shuō),,由于伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司的投資組合嚴(yán)重偏向蘋(píng)果等少數(shù)幾只股票,,存在過(guò)度集中的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。這也可能涉及一些獲利回吐,,因?yàn)榇舜螔伿郯l(fā)生在大盤(pán)屢創(chuàng)新高的時(shí)候,。
截至第二季度末,股票拋售使伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司的現(xiàn)金儲(chǔ)備達(dá)到了2770億美元的新高,,卡斯在X上指出,,這幾乎相當(dāng)于其2850億美元的股票投資總額。
不過(guò),盡管巴菲特最近采取了一些舉措,,但人們?nèi)哉J(rèn)為他更傾向于買(mǎi)入并持有,,而且與同行相比,他并沒(méi)有進(jìn)行過(guò)多的重組,。
卡斯發(fā)推表示:“在過(guò)去的十年里,,伯克希爾-哈撒韋公司的投資組合平均周轉(zhuǎn)率一直很低,通常在每年5%到10%之間,。過(guò)去10年,大型資本管理股票基金的平均周轉(zhuǎn)率通常在每年30%至60%之間,?!保ㄘ?cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-王芳
Just a crazy coincidence, or not?
A striking detail in Berkshire Hathaway’s stock portfolio has caught the attention of Wall Street as investors look for clues on what CEO Warren Buffett could do next.
“Berkshire owned exactly 400,000,000 shares of Apple and 400,000,000 shares of Coca-Cola as of June 30, 2024,” David Kass, a finance professor at the University of Maryland’s Robert H. Smith School of Business, tweeted on Wednesday. “If Buffett likes round numbers, he may not be planning to sell additional shares of Apple.”
In an email to Fortune, Kass acknowledged that the numbers by may just be a coincidence but said he believes that Buffett is signaling he’s done selling and “plans to hold his Apple shares indefinitely,” similar to his Coca-Cola stock.
“Since Buffett has said that the CEO is the chief risk officer, I believe Buffett has been acting in a prudent fashion by reducing Apple’s portfolio weight from 50% down to 30%,” he added, noting that Berkshire’s initial Apple investment of about $30 billion had appreciated to around $180 billion.
Buffett followers—and investors overall—have been puzzling over his possible intentions after the conglomerate revealed a nearly 50% cut in its Apple stake earlier this month. While analysts don’t think he will completely unload the rest of his Apple shares, the dramatic cut in the second quarter raised questions about further reductions.
Of course, while Berkshire now holds the same number of shares in Apple and Coca-Cola, the value of those stakes are wildly different. As of Friday’s closing prices, the Apple stake was worth $90.4 billion, while the Coke stake was worth $27.7 billion.
According to Kass, Apple accounted for almost 50% of Berkshire’s equity investments at the end of the second quarter, while Coca-Cola represented 9%.
But because Coca-Cola is Buffett’s oldest and longest stock position, which has remained steady for decades, the symmetry in his Apple shares has been too juicy to ignore, as CNBC and the Wall Street Journal also picked up on Kass’s tweet this past week.
In addition, Buffett is a hard-core fan of Coca-Cola, reportedly drinking five cans of Coke a day, while he is also an iPhone user and has praised Apple for how loyal its customers are.
Representatives for Berkshire Hathaway didn’t immediately respond to a request for comment.
Analysts viewed the Apple stock sale as a risk-management move, noting that it had grown to take up a massive chunk of the portfolio by valuation. In fact, it followed earlier moves to trim the portfolio. In May, Berkshire disclosed the sale of 100 million Apple shares, amounting to 13% of its stake at the time.
CFRA Research analyst Cathy Seifert told Fortune last week that the latest Apple stock sale represents a “classic rebalancing of the portfolio.”
With Berkshire’s portfolio skewed so heavily toward a handful of stocks like Apple, there was the risk of too much concentration, she explained. Some profit-taking also could have been involved, as the sales occurred when the broader stock market was notching record high after record high.
The stock dump helped boost Berkshire’s cash pile to a fresh high of $277 billion by the end of the second quarter, and Kass pointed out on X that it almost equals its $285 billion investments in equities overall.
But despite his latest moves, Buffett is still considered more of a buy-and-hold investor and hasn’t done that much reshuffling compared to his peers.
“Over the past decade, Berkshire’s average portfolio turnover rate has been quite low, often ranging between 5% to 10% per year,” Kass tweeted. “The average turnover rate for large-capitalization managed equity funds over the past 10 years typically ranges from 30% to 60% per year.”