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疫情之下,,個(gè)人財(cái)產(chǎn)如何才能“幸存”?

BEN CARLSON
2020-12-28

在處處皆“瘋”的年度語(yǔ)境中,,適當(dāng)?shù)膫€(gè)人理財(cái)規(guī)則將變得尤為重要,。

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2020是艱難的一年,。

全球疫情襲來(lái),,工廠倒閉、全行業(yè)瀕臨崩潰,,許多美國(guó)民眾的個(gè)人財(cái)務(wù)受到了持續(xù)的破壞,。處于收入階梯頂端的人通過(guò)各種投資組合,得到了股市上漲的紅利提振,,但處于階梯另一端的人,,他們的經(jīng)歷將截然不同:失業(yè)潮、高臺(tái)壘筑的賬單,,都在等待著他們,。

投資者們驟然跌入熊市,年底時(shí)卻迎來(lái)了前所未有的強(qiáng)勁反彈,。但是,,無(wú)論身處何處,在處處皆“瘋”的年度語(yǔ)境中,,適當(dāng)?shù)膫€(gè)人理財(cái)規(guī)則都將變得尤為重要,。以下將列出幾個(gè)關(guān)于個(gè)人財(cái)務(wù)的提議。鳴謝《財(cái)富》定期撰稿人本?卡爾森。

信用卡債務(wù),,避之如病毒

個(gè)人理財(cái)?shù)牡谝粭l準(zhǔn)則即為,,永遠(yuǎn)不要信用卡負(fù)債。信用卡的借貸利率高得驚人,,支付這些沉重的債務(wù)無(wú)疑會(huì)惡化你的財(cái)產(chǎn)狀況,。如果你還得花長(zhǎng)時(shí)間去還信用卡債務(wù),那就別提投資的事了,。

儲(chǔ)蓄比投資更重要

“先支付自己”,,這個(gè)提議相當(dāng)簡(jiǎn)單,但很少有人能做到這一點(diǎn),。你所能做的最好的投資決定,,就是為自己的財(cái)產(chǎn)設(shè)定一個(gè)高儲(chǔ)蓄率。高儲(chǔ)蓄率能夠給你的生活帶來(lái)相當(dāng)大的“安全邊際”:你無(wú)法控制利率水平,、股市表現(xiàn),、衰退及熊市的到來(lái),但儲(chǔ)蓄率是你絕對(duì)能控制的東西,。

檢查你的借款情況

正如卡爾森在3月份所寫的那樣,,當(dāng)經(jīng)濟(jì)遭受嚴(yán)重打擊時(shí),仍有一線希望,。如果你在12個(gè)月之前申請(qǐng)了一筆35萬(wàn)美元的抵押貸款,,則可能會(huì)鎖定利率為4.5%左右的30年期固定利率抵押貸款。這相當(dāng)于每月要還大約1775美元(不包括稅和保險(xiǎn)),。而股市下跌后,,30年期固定利率抵押貸款利率降低至近3.3%。同樣是35萬(wàn)美元的抵押貸款,,相當(dāng)于每月還1530美元左右,,每月節(jié)省了245美元。在經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩期間,,這些省出來(lái)的資金在一定程度上提供了緩沖??梢?jiàn),,股市暴跌帶來(lái)的好處是,貸款利率降低了,,人們的負(fù)債能力提高了,。

大型商品,購(gòu)之有道

卡爾森曾說(shuō):“我知道我不應(yīng)該這么武斷,,但每當(dāng)我看到路上有5萬(wàn)多美元的SUV,,或者是巨型麥克豪宅時(shí),我腦海中閃現(xiàn)的第一反應(yīng)就是,,‘他們?yōu)橥诵輸€了多少錢,?’,。”個(gè)人理財(cái)專家喜歡在拿鐵咖啡等細(xì)枝末節(jié)上做文章,,但你必須知道,,在保持財(cái)務(wù)井然的過(guò)程中,那些“最大頭”的購(gòu)買行為其實(shí)最重要——無(wú)外乎兩樣?xùn)|西,,住房和交通,。在這兩樣?xùn)|西上花費(fèi)過(guò)多,帶來(lái)的后果可能將非常嚴(yán)重:因?yàn)樗鼈兇碇潭ǔ杀?,且它們帶?lái)的伴隨性花銷也比大家想象的要多,。

年輕投資者應(yīng)該期待熊市

年輕投資者更應(yīng)該期待熊市到來(lái),因?yàn)樾苁心茏屗麄円愿偷膬r(jià)格購(gòu)買更多的股票,。作為一個(gè)新手投資者,,人力資本是你最大的資產(chǎn)。這意味著,,你未來(lái)的收入預(yù)期應(yīng)該能讓你在一段時(shí)間內(nèi)節(jié)省資金,,并幫助您完成繁重的工作。

不要屈服于恐懼

熊市不是一個(gè)對(duì)資產(chǎn)配置進(jìn)行全面調(diào)整的好時(shí)機(jī),,因?yàn)樵谛苁袝r(shí),,你的決策能力會(huì)受到情緒的影響。投資時(shí),,無(wú)論是全部押注還是全盤退出,,都很危險(xiǎn)??赡軙?huì)有一兩次走了運(yùn),,但最終你所做出的,大部分還是“大繁榮前賣出,、大蕭條前買入”這樣的操作,。有四種拋售的情形,是卡爾森所贊同的:當(dāng)你需要“再平衡”的時(shí)候,,當(dāng)你需要投資組合多樣化的時(shí)候,,當(dāng)你的投資觀點(diǎn)被證誤的時(shí)候,以及當(dāng)你已經(jīng)“贏了這場(chǎng)游戲”,,準(zhǔn)備退出的時(shí)候,。

快退休了,宜保守

退休之初,,熊市可能比牛市更具挑戰(zhàn)性,,但有一些方法可以讓你為最近可能遭受到的挫敗做好準(zhǔn)備,而且毫無(wú)疑問(wèn),這種情形還會(huì)再次降臨,。至少要花三年的時(shí)間將資金投入到優(yōu)質(zhì)債券上,,才能為您提供足夠的保障,因此不必在最壞的時(shí)候恐慌出售,。即將退休者可以提前把一部分儲(chǔ)蓄轉(zhuǎn)入一個(gè)安全的儲(chǔ)蓄賬戶,,以支付退休后頭一兩年的開(kāi)支。

而且,,正如我們今年所經(jīng)歷的一樣,,即使碰到了最可怕的熊市,新的牛市也將指日可待,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

編譯:楊二一

2020是艱難的一年,。

全球疫情襲來(lái),工廠倒閉,、全行業(yè)瀕臨崩潰,,許多美國(guó)民眾的個(gè)人財(cái)務(wù)受到了持續(xù)的破壞。處于收入階梯頂端的人通過(guò)各種投資組合,,得到了股市上漲的紅利提振,,但處于階梯另一端的人,他們的經(jīng)歷將截然不同:失業(yè)潮,、高臺(tái)壘筑的賬單,,都在等待著他們。

投資者們驟然跌入熊市,,年底時(shí)卻迎來(lái)了前所未有的強(qiáng)勁反彈,。但是,無(wú)論身處何處,,在處處皆“瘋”的年度語(yǔ)境中,,適當(dāng)?shù)膫€(gè)人理財(cái)規(guī)則都將變得尤為重要。以下將列出幾個(gè)關(guān)于個(gè)人財(cái)務(wù)的提議,。鳴謝《財(cái)富》定期撰稿人本?卡爾森,。

信用卡債務(wù),避之如病毒

個(gè)人理財(cái)?shù)牡谝粭l準(zhǔn)則即為,,永遠(yuǎn)不要信用卡負(fù)債,。信用卡的借貸利率高得驚人,支付這些沉重的債務(wù)無(wú)疑會(huì)惡化你的財(cái)產(chǎn)狀況,。如果你還得花長(zhǎng)時(shí)間去還信用卡債務(wù),那就別提投資的事了,。

儲(chǔ)蓄比投資更重要

“先支付自己”,,這個(gè)提議相當(dāng)簡(jiǎn)單,但很少有人能做到這一點(diǎn)。你所能做的最好的投資決定,,就是為自己的財(cái)產(chǎn)設(shè)定一個(gè)高儲(chǔ)蓄率,。高儲(chǔ)蓄率能夠給你的生活帶來(lái)相當(dāng)大的“安全邊際”:你無(wú)法控制利率水平、股市表現(xiàn),、衰退及熊市的到來(lái),,但儲(chǔ)蓄率是你絕對(duì)能控制的東西。

檢查你的借款情況

正如卡爾森在3月份所寫的那樣,,當(dāng)經(jīng)濟(jì)遭受嚴(yán)重打擊時(shí),,仍有一線希望。如果你在12個(gè)月之前申請(qǐng)了一筆35萬(wàn)美元的抵押貸款,,則可能會(huì)鎖定利率為4.5%左右的30年期固定利率抵押貸款,。這相當(dāng)于每月要還大約1775美元(不包括稅和保險(xiǎn))。而股市下跌后,,30年期固定利率抵押貸款利率降低至近3.3%,。同樣是35萬(wàn)美元的抵押貸款,相當(dāng)于每月還1530美元左右,,每月節(jié)省了245美元,。在經(jīng)濟(jì)放緩期間,這些省出來(lái)的資金在一定程度上提供了緩沖,??梢?jiàn),股市暴跌帶來(lái)的好處是,,貸款利率降低了,,人們的負(fù)債能力提高了。

大型商品,,購(gòu)之有道

卡爾森曾說(shuō):“我知道我不應(yīng)該這么武斷,,但每當(dāng)我看到路上有5萬(wàn)多美元的SUV,或者是巨型麥克豪宅時(shí),,我腦海中閃現(xiàn)的第一反應(yīng)就是,,‘他們?yōu)橥诵輸€了多少錢?’,?!眰€(gè)人理財(cái)專家喜歡在拿鐵咖啡等細(xì)枝末節(jié)上做文章,但你必須知道,,在保持財(cái)務(wù)井然的過(guò)程中,,那些“最大頭”的購(gòu)買行為其實(shí)最重要——無(wú)外乎兩樣?xùn)|西,住房和交通,。在這兩樣?xùn)|西上花費(fèi)過(guò)多,,帶來(lái)的后果可能將非常嚴(yán)重:因?yàn)樗鼈兇碇潭ǔ杀?,且它們帶?lái)的伴隨性花銷也比大家想象的要多。

年輕投資者應(yīng)該期待熊市

年輕投資者更應(yīng)該期待熊市到來(lái),,因?yàn)樾苁心茏屗麄円愿偷膬r(jià)格購(gòu)買更多的股票,。作為一個(gè)新手投資者,人力資本是你最大的資產(chǎn),。這意味著,,你未來(lái)的收入預(yù)期應(yīng)該能讓你在一段時(shí)間內(nèi)節(jié)省資金,并幫助您完成繁重的工作,。

不要屈服于恐懼

熊市不是一個(gè)對(duì)資產(chǎn)配置進(jìn)行全面調(diào)整的好時(shí)機(jī),,因?yàn)樵谛苁袝r(shí),你的決策能力會(huì)受到情緒的影響,。投資時(shí),,無(wú)論是全部押注還是全盤退出,都很危險(xiǎn),??赡軙?huì)有一兩次走了運(yùn),但最終你所做出的,,大部分還是“大繁榮前賣出,、大蕭條前買入”這樣的操作。有四種拋售的情形,,是卡爾森所贊同的:當(dāng)你需要“再平衡”的時(shí)候,,當(dāng)你需要投資組合多樣化的時(shí)候,當(dāng)你的投資觀點(diǎn)被證誤的時(shí)候,,以及當(dāng)你已經(jīng)“贏了這場(chǎng)游戲”,,準(zhǔn)備退出的時(shí)候。

快退休了,,宜保守

退休之初,,熊市可能比牛市更具挑戰(zhàn)性,但有一些方法可以讓你為最近可能遭受到的挫敗做好準(zhǔn)備,,而且毫無(wú)疑問(wèn),,這種情形還會(huì)再次降臨。至少要花三年的時(shí)間將資金投入到優(yōu)質(zhì)債券上,,才能為您提供足夠的保障,,因此不必在最壞的時(shí)候恐慌出售。即將退休者可以提前把一部分儲(chǔ)蓄轉(zhuǎn)入一個(gè)安全的儲(chǔ)蓄賬戶,,以支付退休后頭一兩年的開(kāi)支,。

而且,正如我們今年所經(jīng)歷的一樣,,即使碰到了最可怕的熊市,,新的牛市也將指日可待,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

編譯:楊二一

It has been a tough year.

Yes, there was a global pandemic, but the economic fallout from shutdowns and entire industries collapsing has wreaked continual havoc on the personal finances of many Americans. Though those at the upper end of the income ladder may have seen their portfolios buoyed by a rising stock market, those on the opposite end have had a very different experience, which may have included unemployment and trouble paying bills.

All investors sweated through a record-fast dive into a bear market, yet enjoyed an unbelievably strong rally to end the year. But wherever you found yourself on the spectrum, there were some personal finance rules that became especially important during this wild year. Here are a few that stood out, thanks to regular Fortune contributor Ben Carlson.

Avoid credit card debt like the plague

The first rule of personal finance is to never carry a credit card balance. Credit card borrowing rates are egregiously high and paying those rates is an easy way to negatively compound your net worth. If you carry credit card debt for a prolonged period of time, you’re not ready to invest your money in the markets.

Saving is more important than investing

Pay yourself first is such simple advice, but so few people do this. The best investment decision you can make is setting a high savings rate because it gives you a huge margin of safety in life. You have no control over the level of interest rates, stock market performance, or the timing of recessions and bear markets, but you can control your savings rate.

Check your borrowing

As Carlson wrote in March, when the economy takes a beating there can be some silver linings. If you took out a $350,000 mortgage 12 months earlier, you likely locked in a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at around 4.5%. That equates to a monthly payment of roughly $1,775 (ignoring taxes and insurance). Then 30-year fixed-rate mortgages moved closer to 3.3%. On that same $350,000 mortgage, that works out to a monthly payment of around $1,530, a savings of $245 a month. That extra money can provide a cushion during a potential economic slowdown. The one bright spot from the crashing stock market is interest rates have made borrowing more affordable.

Get the big purchases right

As Carlson puts it, “I know I shouldn’t be so judgmental, but whenever I see $50K to $70K SUVs on the road or enormous McMansions the first thing that pops into my head is, ‘I wonder how much they have saved for retirement?’” Personal finance experts love to debate the minutiae of lattes, but the most important purchases in terms of keeping your finances in order will be the big ones—housing and transportation. Overextending yourself on these two purchases can be a killer because they represent fixed costs and come with more ancillary expenses than most people realize.

Young investors should look forward to bear markets

Young investors should pray for bear markets because it allows them to buy more shares at lower prices. Human capital is your biggest asset as a newbie investor, meaning your future earnings potential should enable you to save money over time and allow compounding to do the heavy lifting for you.

Don’t succumb to fear

A bear market is one of the worst times to completely overhaul your asset allocation because your decision-making ability will be clouded by your emotions. The all-in or all-out game is one of the most dangerous you can play when investing. Sure, you could luck out once or twice, but eventually you’re going to end up selling out before a huge boom or buying before a huge bust. The four times Carlson advocates selling: when you need to rebalance, when you need to diversify, when you’ve been proven wrong about an investment thesis, and when you’ve “won the game” and are ready to retire.

Near retirement, get conservative

A bear market at the outset of retirement can make things more challenging than a rip-roaring bull market, but there are ways to prepare yourself for the scenario that befell investors recently—and no doubt will again. A minimum of at least three years’ worth of spending cash in high-quality bonds or cash would give you enough coverage so you don’t have to panic-sell stocks at the worst time. Those approaching retirement could at a minimum begin funneling some of their savings in their later years into a safe savings account to cover their first year or two of expenses in retirement.

And, as we surely saw in 2020, even in the scariest bear market, a new bull market may be right around the corner.

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