千禧一代和Z世代見(jiàn)證了對(duì)他們?cè)孑厑?lái)說(shuō)只存在于科幻小說(shuō)中的科技進(jìn)步,,包括iPhone手機(jī)的誕生和自動(dòng)駕駛汽車(chē)的面世,,但A世代的境遇甚至可能更加超乎前人的想象。
由股票策略師馬丁·布里格斯(Martyn Briggs)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)的美國(guó)銀行研究(Bank of America Research)的分析師團(tuán)隊(duì)周二解釋道,,人工智能(AI)的崛起是“一個(gè)更具革新性的iPhone時(shí)刻”,,在未來(lái)幾十年內(nèi)將不僅重塑商界和全球經(jīng)濟(jì),還會(huì)改變整整一代人,。
A世代一般是指2012年至2020年代中期出生的人口,,他們將在這樣一種“常態(tài)”中長(zhǎng)大:AI助手與孩子一起學(xué)習(xí)和成長(zhǎng),并逐漸調(diào)整功能以適應(yīng)他們的具體需求,。
周四,,布里格斯及其團(tuán)隊(duì)在一份報(bào)告中總結(jié)了最近14場(chǎng)AI專(zhuān)家活動(dòng)的重要啟示,并寫(xiě)道:“我們正處在‘A世代’人口變革的初期,。作為出生于網(wǎng)絡(luò)世界的第一代人,,Z世代是目前最具顛覆性的一代,;但今天的孩子們卻將會(huì)在AI模型的陪伴下成長(zhǎng)?!?/p>
分析師們引用了Alphabet旗下研究與開(kāi)發(fā)機(jī)構(gòu)X(原為GoogleX)的顧問(wèn)蒂莫西?帕潘德里歐(Timothy Papandreou)的言論,,他在不久前舉辦的一場(chǎng)活動(dòng)中表示,隨著孩子們?cè)谌松^(guò)程中學(xué)會(huì)使用生成式AI“助手”,,AI將推動(dòng)程序員一代向“最佳提示者”一代轉(zhuǎn)變,。
未來(lái),A世代將不再需要掌握編程技能來(lái)使用他們的AI模型,,而只需設(shè)法通過(guò)輸入簡(jiǎn)單的文本來(lái)適當(dāng)?shù)靥崾具@些系統(tǒng),,以獲得理想的結(jié)果,無(wú)論是在為了完成學(xué)校論文而查找關(guān)于小說(shuō)家卡夫卡的資料,,還是書(shū)寫(xiě)工作郵件的時(shí)候,。
帕潘德里歐表示,“如今,,孩子們從出生起就會(huì)有一個(gè)AI虛擬隨身助理或經(jīng)紀(jì)人,。在孩子們長(zhǎng)大的過(guò)程中,AI也會(huì)隨之成熟,,掌握一切必要的信息,,并且一直以導(dǎo)師的角色相伴他們左右”,并稱(chēng)Z世代將是“最后一代沒(méi)有AI陪伴著長(zhǎng)大的人”,。
如《財(cái)富》雜志之前報(bào)道,,作為生于互聯(lián)網(wǎng)和社交媒體時(shí)代的第一代人,Z世代一直在忙著對(duì)抗焦慮和努力尋找自身的意義,。如今,,該輪到A世代應(yīng)對(duì)科技快速發(fā)展的影響了,他們對(duì)AI的使用很可能將引起一系列新的,、始料未及的心理健康問(wèn)題,。
企業(yè)與監(jiān)管機(jī)構(gòu)面對(duì)的新世界
美國(guó)銀行(Bank of America)的分析師詳細(xì)闡明了A世代對(duì)AI的使用最終將如何重塑商界以及為何需要政府的嚴(yán)格監(jiān)管以防止最壞的情況發(fā)生。他們指出,,年輕一代已經(jīng)開(kāi)始接受AI,,并稱(chēng)“以ChatGPT和Bard為例,年輕一代更加了解它們,,也以更為贊許的態(tài)度看待它們,。”
在過(guò)去一年的14場(chǎng)AI活動(dòng)上,,接受美國(guó)銀行采訪(fǎng)的專(zhuān)家們表示:總之,作為精通AI的第一代人,,A世代的崛起意味著企業(yè)亟需快速過(guò)渡到應(yīng)用AI技術(shù)的階段,。
未來(lái)主義者,、奇點(diǎn)大學(xué)(Singularity University)聯(lián)合創(chuàng)始人彼得?迪曼蒂斯(Peter Diamandis)對(duì)該投資銀行直言不諱道:“到這個(gè)十年結(jié)束時(shí),將會(huì)有兩種公司:一種是充分利用AI的公司,,另一種是破產(chǎn)的公司,。”
對(duì)政府來(lái)說(shuō),,隨著A世代日漸成熟,,AI顯現(xiàn)出巨大的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)。專(zhuān)家一再警告AI對(duì)勞動(dòng)力市場(chǎng)構(gòu)成潛在影響,,但相比造成失業(yè),,美國(guó)銀行的分析師更擔(dān)心AI引發(fā)深度偽造、虛假宣傳及侵犯版權(quán)和知識(shí)產(chǎn)權(quán)等問(wèn)題,。他們表示,,未來(lái)將需要借助“AI管理員”(監(jiān)督AI模型的人類(lèi)程序員和監(jiān)管者)來(lái)抵抗這些消極影響。
他們寫(xiě)道:“對(duì)AI實(shí)施監(jiān)管的日子即將到來(lái),。為了解決利用AI進(jìn)行虛假宣傳和傳播假新聞的問(wèn)題,,我們需要監(jiān)管,尤其是要制定原則,、標(biāo)準(zhǔn)以及搭建防護(hù)欄,。”
美國(guó)銀行還與AI倫理學(xué)家及歐洲負(fù)責(zé)任人工智能辦公室(European Responsible Artificial Intelligence Office)主任內(nèi)爾·沃森(Nell Watson)就未來(lái)法規(guī)將演變成怎樣進(jìn)行了探討,。后者表示,,將“不大可能”形成全球性的AI監(jiān)管框架,但旨在防止最壞情況的各種策略正陸續(xù)推出,。
她解釋道:“每個(gè)地區(qū)的目標(biāo)都是進(jìn)行‘恰到好處’的干預(yù),,但采取的辦法各不相同,其中有監(jiān)測(cè)和管控(中國(guó)),、國(guó)家安全限制/硬件限制(美國(guó))以及實(shí)施隱私法(歐盟),。”
沃森說(shuō),,“迄今為止,,公司的AI道德意識(shí)和自我監(jiān)管尚不足且水平參差不齊”,不過(guò)也不應(yīng)該因?yàn)椤暗赖驴只拧本瓦^(guò)度監(jiān)管新技術(shù),。
她表示:“我們的分寸應(yīng)拿捏得當(dāng),,做到確保足夠的安全性以防止引發(fā)災(zāi)難性事件和不良的外部效應(yīng),但又不會(huì)完全阻礙AI的發(fā)展,?!保ㄘ?cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-劉嘉歡
千禧一代和Z世代見(jiàn)證了對(duì)他們?cè)孑厑?lái)說(shuō)只存在于科幻小說(shuō)中的科技進(jìn)步,包括iPhone手機(jī)的誕生和自動(dòng)駕駛汽車(chē)的面世,,但A世代的境遇甚至可能更加超乎前人的想象,。
由股票策略師馬丁·布里格斯(Martyn Briggs)領(lǐng)導(dǎo)的美國(guó)銀行研究(Bank of America Research)的分析師團(tuán)隊(duì)周二解釋道,,人工智能(AI)的崛起是“一個(gè)更具革新性的iPhone時(shí)刻”,在未來(lái)幾十年內(nèi)將不僅重塑商界和全球經(jīng)濟(jì),,還會(huì)改變整整一代人,。
A世代一般是指2012年至2020年代中期出生的人口,他們將在這樣一種“常態(tài)”中長(zhǎng)大:AI助手與孩子一起學(xué)習(xí)和成長(zhǎng),,并逐漸調(diào)整功能以適應(yīng)他們的具體需求,。
周四,布里格斯及其團(tuán)隊(duì)在一份報(bào)告中總結(jié)了最近14場(chǎng)AI專(zhuān)家活動(dòng)的重要啟示,,并寫(xiě)道:“我們正處在‘A世代’人口變革的初期,。作為出生于網(wǎng)絡(luò)世界的第一代人,Z世代是目前最具顛覆性的一代,;但今天的孩子們卻將會(huì)在AI模型的陪伴下成長(zhǎng),。”
分析師們引用了Alphabet旗下研究與開(kāi)發(fā)機(jī)構(gòu)X(原為GoogleX)的顧問(wèn)蒂莫西?帕潘德里歐(Timothy Papandreou)的言論,,他在不久前舉辦的一場(chǎng)活動(dòng)中表示,,隨著孩子們?cè)谌松^(guò)程中學(xué)會(huì)使用生成式AI“助手”,AI將推動(dòng)程序員一代向“最佳提示者”一代轉(zhuǎn)變,。
未來(lái),,A世代將不再需要掌握編程技能來(lái)使用他們的AI模型,而只需設(shè)法通過(guò)輸入簡(jiǎn)單的文本來(lái)適當(dāng)?shù)靥崾具@些系統(tǒng),,以獲得理想的結(jié)果,,無(wú)論是在為了完成學(xué)校論文而查找關(guān)于小說(shuō)家卡夫卡的資料,還是書(shū)寫(xiě)工作郵件的時(shí)候,。
帕潘德里歐表示,,“如今,孩子們從出生起就會(huì)有一個(gè)AI虛擬隨身助理或經(jīng)紀(jì)人,。在孩子們長(zhǎng)大的過(guò)程中,,AI也會(huì)隨之成熟,掌握一切必要的信息,,并且一直以導(dǎo)師的角色相伴他們左右”,,并稱(chēng)Z世代將是“最后一代沒(méi)有AI陪伴著長(zhǎng)大的人”。
如《財(cái)富》雜志之前報(bào)道,,作為生于互聯(lián)網(wǎng)和社交媒體時(shí)代的第一代人,,Z世代一直在忙著對(duì)抗焦慮和努力尋找自身的意義。如今,,該輪到A世代應(yīng)對(duì)科技快速發(fā)展的影響了,,他們對(duì)AI的使用很可能將引起一系列新的、始料未及的心理健康問(wèn)題。
企業(yè)與監(jiān)管機(jī)構(gòu)面對(duì)的新世界
美國(guó)銀行(Bank of America)的分析師詳細(xì)闡明了A世代對(duì)AI的使用最終將如何重塑商界以及為何需要政府的嚴(yán)格監(jiān)管以防止最壞的情況發(fā)生,。他們指出,,年輕一代已經(jīng)開(kāi)始接受AI,,并稱(chēng)“以ChatGPT和Bard為例,,年輕一代更加了解它們,也以更為贊許的態(tài)度看待它們,?!?/p>
在過(guò)去一年的14場(chǎng)AI活動(dòng)上,接受美國(guó)銀行采訪(fǎng)的專(zhuān)家們表示:總之,,作為精通AI的第一代人,,A世代的崛起意味著企業(yè)亟需快速過(guò)渡到應(yīng)用AI技術(shù)的階段。
未來(lái)主義者,、奇點(diǎn)大學(xué)(Singularity University)聯(lián)合創(chuàng)始人彼得?迪曼蒂斯(Peter Diamandis)對(duì)該投資銀行直言不諱道:“到這個(gè)十年結(jié)束時(shí),,將會(huì)有兩種公司:一種是充分利用AI的公司,另一種是破產(chǎn)的公司,?!?/p>
對(duì)政府來(lái)說(shuō),隨著A世代日漸成熟,,AI顯現(xiàn)出巨大的風(fēng)險(xiǎn),。專(zhuān)家一再警告AI對(duì)勞動(dòng)力市場(chǎng)構(gòu)成潛在影響,但相比造成失業(yè),,美國(guó)銀行的分析師更擔(dān)心AI引發(fā)深度偽造,、虛假宣傳及侵犯版權(quán)和知識(shí)產(chǎn)權(quán)等問(wèn)題。他們表示,,未來(lái)將需要借助“AI管理員”(監(jiān)督AI模型的人類(lèi)程序員和監(jiān)管者)來(lái)抵抗這些消極影響,。
他們寫(xiě)道:“對(duì)AI實(shí)施監(jiān)管的日子即將到來(lái)。為了解決利用AI進(jìn)行虛假宣傳和傳播假新聞的問(wèn)題,,我們需要監(jiān)管,,尤其是要制定原則、標(biāo)準(zhǔn)以及搭建防護(hù)欄,?!?/p>
美國(guó)銀行還與AI倫理學(xué)家及歐洲負(fù)責(zé)任人工智能辦公室(European Responsible Artificial Intelligence Office)主任內(nèi)爾·沃森(Nell Watson)就未來(lái)法規(guī)將演變成怎樣進(jìn)行了探討。后者表示,,將“不大可能”形成全球性的AI監(jiān)管框架,,但旨在防止最壞情況的各種策略正陸續(xù)推出。
她解釋道:“每個(gè)地區(qū)的目標(biāo)都是進(jìn)行‘恰到好處’的干預(yù),,但采取的辦法各不相同,,其中有監(jiān)測(cè)和管控(中國(guó))、國(guó)家安全限制/硬件限制(美國(guó))以及實(shí)施隱私法(歐盟),?!?/p>
沃森說(shuō),,“迄今為止,公司的AI道德意識(shí)和自我監(jiān)管尚不足且水平參差不齊”,,不過(guò)也不應(yīng)該因?yàn)椤暗赖驴只拧本瓦^(guò)度監(jiān)管新技術(shù),。
她表示:“我們的分寸應(yīng)拿捏得當(dāng),做到確保足夠的安全性以防止引發(fā)災(zāi)難性事件和不良的外部效應(yīng),,但又不會(huì)完全阻礙AI的發(fā)展,。”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))
譯者:中慧言-劉嘉歡
Millennials and Gen Z have witnessed technological advancements their great grandparents would have seen as science fiction, from the birth of the iPhone to the rollout of self-driving cars, but Gen A’s story might be even more Asimov-esque.
Bank of America Research analysts, led by equity strategist Martyn Briggs, explained Thursday that the rise of A.I. is “an iPhone moment, on steroids” that will reshape not only the business world and the global economy over the coming decades, but also an entire generation.
Gen A, generally defined as those born between 2012 and the mid-2020s, will grow up in a world where “the norm” will be A.I. assistants that learn and grow alongside children, slowly being tailored to their specific needs.
“We are at the dawn of a demographic ‘Gen A’ revolution,” Briggs and his team wrote in a Thursday note summarizing the key takeaways from 14 recent A.I. expert events. “While Gen Z is the most disruptive generation now as the first generation to be born into an online world; kids of today will have AI models that grow with them.”
The analysts cited Timothy Papandreou, an advisor to Alphabet’s research and development organization, X (formerly GoogleX), who explained at a recent event that A.I. will lead to a transition from a generation of programmers to a generation of “perfect prompters” as kids learn to utilize generative A.I. “assistants” throughout their lives.
Gen A won’t need programming skills to use their A.I models, instead they will work to properly prompt these systems with simple text to get the desired outcome, whether that’s finding information about Kafka for a school paper or writing an email at work.
“Children will now have an A.I. avatar shadow assistant or agent from birth. As they grow A.I. will grow with them and know everything it needs to know, and always be there as a mentor,” Papandreou said, arguing that Gen Z will be the “l(fā)ast generation to not grow up with AI.”
As Fortune previously reported, Gen Z has grappled with anxiety and finding meaning in their role as the first generation born with the internet and social media. Now, it’s Gen A’s turn to deal with the impact of rapid technological advancement, and their A.I. usage will likely bring forward a whole new set of unforeseen mental health problems.
A new world for businesses and regulators
Bank of America’s analysts detailed how Gen A’s use of A.I. will ultimately reshape the business world and require serious regulation from governments to prevent worst-case scenarios. They argued that younger generations are already leaning into A.I, noting that “in the case of ChatGPT and Bard, younger generations are more aware of them and see them in a more favourable light.”
In sum, the rise of the first A.I.-fluent generation, Gen A, means a rapid transition to using the technology is necessary for businesses, according to the experts BofA interviewed throughout 14 separate A.I. events over the past year.
“There will be two kinds of companies at the end of this decade: those that are fully utilizing AI, and those that are out of business,” Peter Diamandis, a futurist and the co-founder of Singularity University, bluntly told the investment bank.
For governments, the risks of A.I. are significant as Gen A comes of age. Experts have repeatedly warned about the potential impact of A.I. on the labor market, but BofA’s analysts are less concerned about job losses and more worried about the rise of deepfakes, propaganda, and copyright and intellectual property issues. They said there will need to be “AI Wranglers”—human programmers and regulators who oversee A.I. models—to help counteract these negative effects in the future.
“A.I. regulation is on the horizon,” they wrote. “To address the problems of propaganda and fake news, we need regulation, especially principles, standards and guardrails.”
BofA also spoke with Nell Watson, an A.I. ethicist and the president of the European Responsible Artificial Intelligence Office, about how future regulations might look. She said a global framework for regulating A.I. is “unlikely,” but different strategies to prevent worst-case scenarios are rolling out now.
“Each region is targeting a ‘Goldilocks level’ of just right intervention but taking different approaches, from surveillance and control (China), national security/hardware restrictions (US), to privacy laws (EU),” she explained.
Watson said that “company A.I. ethics and self-regulation are insufficient and uneven thus far,” but the new technology shouldn’t be overregulated due to “moral panic” either.
“We should do just enough and not more, to have enough safety to prevent catastrophe and prevent unfortunate externalities, but not shut down A.I. altogether,” she argued.