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四大當(dāng)家投資品種新年行情預(yù)測(cè)大碰撞

四大當(dāng)家投資品種新年行情預(yù)測(cè)大碰撞

NIN-HAI TSENG 2011-12-30
隨著新年鐘聲即將敲響,我們有理由樂(lè)觀,,也有理由謹(jǐn)慎,。房產(chǎn)、股票,、黃金,、石油明年走勢(shì)如何?4個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo),,8種觀點(diǎn):你是看漲,,還是看跌?

美國(guó)樓市:看漲

????雖然當(dāng)前美國(guó)樓市低迷,,但仍有一些人相信2012年美國(guó)房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)的基本面將開(kāi)始好轉(zhuǎn),。近日,巴克萊(Barclays)的分析師們上調(diào)了一些住宅建筑商的目標(biāo)價(jià),,包括D.R.霍頓房屋公司(D.R. Horton),、萊納房屋公司(Lennar Corporation),、房屋營(yíng)建商Meritage Homes Corporation、普德集團(tuán)(Pulte Group)和托爾兄弟公司(Toll Brothers)等,。

????分析人士稱,,上調(diào)目標(biāo)價(jià)主要是考慮到非止贖屋的價(jià)格已經(jīng)企穩(wěn)。他們指出,,如今止贖屋的出售也不再拉低其他房產(chǎn)的售價(jià),。而且,就業(yè)市場(chǎng)已有所改善,。過(guò)去的12個(gè)月創(chuàng)造就業(yè)崗位180萬(wàn)個(gè),,月均15萬(wàn)個(gè)。而且,,由于今秋新增就業(yè)崗位的情況顯著好于去年,,看漲者相信這將為春季銷售旺盛打下了良好基礎(chǔ)。

U.S. Housing: Bull

????Despite today's gloomy housing market, a few are betting 2012 will mark the beginnings of a fundamental turnaround for the industry. Barclays analysts recently raised their price targets for homebuilders D.R. Horton, Lennar Corporation, Meritage Homes Corporation, Pulte Group and Toll Brothers.

????The outlook, the analysts say, comes chiefly because prices for non-distressed homes have stabilized. They point out that the sales of foreclosed homes are no longer dragging down prices for the rest of the housing industry. What's more, the job market has improved during the past 12 months with the creation of 1.8 million jobs, an average of 150,000 a month. And since job creation has been considerably better this fall than last year, the bullish argument goes, this sets the stage for a strong spring selling season.

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