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專欄 - 從華爾街到硅谷

Snapchat天價(jià)估值背后有何玄機(jī)

Dan Primack 2013年06月27日

Dan Primack專注于報(bào)道交易和交易撮合者,從美國(guó)金融業(yè)到風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資業(yè)均有涉及,。此前,,Dan是湯森路透(Thomson Reuters)的自由編輯,,推出了peHUB.com和peHUB Wire郵件服務(wù),。作為一名新聞工作者,,Dan還曾在美國(guó)馬薩諸塞州羅克斯伯里經(jīng)營(yíng)一份社區(qū)報(bào)紙。目前他居住在波士頓附近,。
圖片網(wǎng)站Snapchat上的圖片發(fā)布10秒鐘后就會(huì)自行銷毀,,頗有點(diǎn)“閱后即焚”的味道。目前,,用戶每天在它上面發(fā)布的圖片超過2億張,,用戶群也在迅速壯大。然而,,它并沒有清晰的商業(yè)模式,。不過,最近一輪融資中,,風(fēng)險(xiǎn)資本家對(duì)Snapchat的估價(jià)超過8億美元,。原因何在?

????牽頭進(jìn)行本輪融資的Institutional Venture Partners公司丹尼斯?菲爾普斯應(yīng)該知道上述問題的答案,。不幸的是,,他不接受關(guān)于此交易的采訪。但他寫了一篇名為《IVP投資Snapchat的十大理由》的博客文章,。這篇文章使我產(chǎn)生了兩個(gè)想法:

????1,、要么菲爾普斯是位蹩腳的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)資本家,根本不懂行,;

????2,、要么菲爾普斯其實(shí)心里跟明鏡似地,只是故意兜圈子,,不想讓博文讀者弄明白,。

????我猜后一種更可信,。

????說真的,菲爾普斯給出的好幾條原因可謂寬泛至極,,可以適用于幾十家乃至數(shù)百家新創(chuàng)企業(yè),。比如說移動(dòng)至上?專注于圖像而非文字,?創(chuàng)始人是“數(shù)碼原生代”,?公司總部設(shè)在南加州?

????另外,,菲爾普斯給出的有些原因根本不是好的投資理由,,比如說追隨聰明的首輪投資者【基準(zhǔn)資本(Benchmark)和光速創(chuàng)投(Lightspeed)】,還有“因?yàn)樗麄冏屛覀兺丁薄?/p>

????所以,,我不禁懷疑Snapchat其實(shí)有一個(gè)宏偉的計(jì)劃,,只不過這家公司及其投資者目前都不愿透露。就連就此發(fā)布一條10秒鐘就自行銷毀的“快照”消息也不行,。(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

????譯者:項(xiàng)航

????One person who should know the answer is Dennis Phelps of Institutional Venture Partners, which led the new financing round. Unfortunately, he isn't doing interviews on the deal. Instead, he wrote a blog post titled Ten Reasons Why IVP Invested in Snapchat. It left me with two thoughts:

????1.?Either Phelps is a lousy venture capitalist who doesn't know what he's doing, or

????2.?He knows exactly what he's doing, and has expertly talked around telling readers of the blog post.

????My guess is the latter.

????Seriously, many of the reasons Phelps gives are generic enough that they could apply to dozens of startups, if not to hundreds. Mobile-first? Focused on imagery rather than text? The founders are digital natives? The company is based in Southern California?

????And some of them just aren't good reasons to invest. Namely the ones about following smart Series A investors (Benchmark and Lightspeed) and the one about "because they let us."

????So that's why I come back to the idea that Snapchat has a grand plan that neither it, nor its investors, are willing to divulge. Yet. Not even in a 10-second message that self-destructs.

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