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創(chuàng)業(yè)公司增長(zhǎng)奇跡:如何在8個(gè)月內(nèi)估值達(dá)到10億美元?

創(chuàng)業(yè)公司增長(zhǎng)奇跡:如何在8個(gè)月內(nèi)估值達(dá)到10億美元,?

Erin Griffith 2015-02-05
商業(yè)軟件公司Slack的產(chǎn)品上線不到一年時(shí)間,,目前已經(jīng)獲得10億美元的估值。創(chuàng)始人表示,,自己其實(shí)并不缺錢,,但天價(jià)估值不僅可以讓Slack成為市場(chǎng)關(guān)注的焦點(diǎn),還可以增加用戶的信任感,,招募到更優(yōu)秀的人才,。

????如果說(shuō)哪家企業(yè)最能代表這個(gè)“獨(dú)角獸時(shí)代”(請(qǐng)見(jiàn)《財(cái)富》二月刊的封面故事),那一定是Slack公司,。

????另一方面,,這家公司也很容易被視為當(dāng)今“科技泡沫”的例證。Slack公司的同名產(chǎn)品上線僅僅八個(gè)月,,它的估值就已超過(guò)10億美元,。這怎么可能呢,?硅谷的錢是大風(fēng)刮來(lái)的嗎?

????但同時(shí),,Slack也說(shuō)明市場(chǎng)上存在著一個(gè)多大的商機(jī),。自從推出以來(lái),Slack的營(yíng)業(yè)額平均每星期增長(zhǎng)7%——這基本上是很多大公司希望達(dá)到的年化增長(zhǎng)速度,。每周它都會(huì)新增好幾千名付費(fèi)用戶,。該公司目前擁有100名員工,每月的運(yùn)營(yíng)成本只有10萬(wàn)美元,。當(dāng)然,,這家公司現(xiàn)在還不滿一周歲,但按這個(gè)勢(shì)頭,,它無(wú)疑將增長(zhǎng)為一家大公司,。

????這就是為什么它會(huì)這么快地估值達(dá)到10億美元。

????整個(gè)夏天,,Slack公司的CEO斯圖爾特?巴特菲爾德都沒(méi)有理會(huì)風(fēng)投們發(fā)來(lái)的詢價(jià),。到了9月,巴特菲爾德決定花一周時(shí)間召開(kāi)投資人會(huì)議,,“看看情況怎么樣,。”Slack于去年2月正式上線,,該公司大約一年前剛剛關(guān)掉了一款沒(méi)有引起市場(chǎng)反響的游戲產(chǎn)品,。作為一款針對(duì)辦公室員工的協(xié)作工具,Slack一經(jīng)推出就立即獲得了成功,。到了4月,,Slack的初期成功已經(jīng)幫助公司成功拉來(lái)了4280萬(wàn)美元的融資,使公司的估值達(dá)到2.5億美元,。

????這一消息使Slack迅速在投資圈火了起來(lái),。風(fēng)投家們發(fā)現(xiàn),他們投資的許多公司都迅速采用了Slack的產(chǎn)品,。每周發(fā)給Slack公司,,要求向其投資的電子郵件已經(jīng)增長(zhǎng)到了10封之多。有些電子郵件來(lái)自巴特菲爾德認(rèn)識(shí)的投資人(巴特菲爾德此前還與人共同創(chuàng)辦過(guò)一度大熱的照片分享網(wǎng)站Flickr,,該網(wǎng)站于2005年被雅虎收購(gòu)),,但大多數(shù)還是來(lái)自完全陌生的投資人。但他們都抱著一個(gè)相同的目的:希望巴特菲爾德接受他們的投資,。

????Slack公司并不需要新投資,,但巴特菲爾德決定“試試水”,因?yàn)樗J(rèn)為這個(gè)來(lái)錢快,、估值高的時(shí)代可能不會(huì)永遠(yuǎn)持續(xù)下去,。“我也認(rèn)為2008年(金融危機(jī))只掉下來(lái)了一只靴子,,還有另一只靴子沒(méi)有掉下來(lái),。我在2008年損失了一大筆錢,而且我發(fā)現(xiàn)當(dāng)時(shí)的融資環(huán)境收緊了?,F(xiàn)在我意識(shí)到了這種循環(huán),。你很難說(shuō)(估值泡沫)已經(jīng)到了頂峰,但我們顯然離谷底非常遠(yuǎn),?!?/p>

????巴特菲爾德決定繼續(xù)融資,還有另一個(gè)貌似不十分理性的原因:他想獲得10億美元的估值,。如果Slack得不到10億美元估值,,他寧可一分錢也不融。他表示,,作為一個(gè)符號(hào),,10億美元具有一種無(wú)形的意義,它意味著“當(dāng)人們一談起這個(gè),,就會(huì)提到我們,。”

????他解釋說(shuō):“這當(dāng)然只是一個(gè)心理上的門檻,,但它對(duì)有些客戶的確是有幫助的,。當(dāng)我們與一家財(cái)富500強(qiáng)企業(yè)就服務(wù)合同進(jìn)行談判,比如談到三年以后的合同條款,,如果他們知道我們是一家估值很高,,財(cái)力雄厚的公司,那將會(huì)大有助益,?!?/p>

????10億美元估值對(duì)于招攬人才也很有用?!坝行﹩T工不愿冒太大風(fēng)險(xiǎn),,比如有些在谷歌和Facebook等大公司工作的人,他們有孩子,,要還房貸,。如果他們知道我們是一家估值10億的大公司,對(duì)來(lái)這里工作會(huì)更有信心,?!?/p>

????不過(guò),這10億美元估值是否基于某種真實(shí)的度量指標(biāo),?投資者是否統(tǒng)計(jì)過(guò)數(shù)據(jù),、分析過(guò)表格或公開(kāi)文件,?答案是沒(méi)有。巴特菲爾德表示:“有些方法可以相當(dāng)精確地根據(jù)穩(wěn)定的業(yè)務(wù)計(jì)算出未來(lái)現(xiàn)金流的價(jià)值,。但很顯然,,那種辦法并不適合我們?!睋Q句話說(shuō),,Slack增長(zhǎng)得太快了,沒(méi)法用那種預(yù)測(cè)算法計(jì)算估值,。最近的公開(kāi)聲明顯示,,已經(jīng)有4.5萬(wàn)個(gè)團(tuán)隊(duì)、36.5萬(wàn)名付費(fèi)用戶每天在使用Slack的服務(wù),。巴特菲爾德稱:“除了節(jié)假日,,每一天都在創(chuàng)造紀(jì)錄,每個(gè)星期二都是有史以來(lái)最好的星期二,?!?/p>

????所以說(shuō),Slack還有什么理由不選擇能吸引客戶,、招攬人才的10億美元估值呢,?巴特菲爾德承認(rèn),Slack有相當(dāng)一部分的增長(zhǎng)要?dú)w功于它的估值,。他說(shuō):“你必須要選擇一個(gè)數(shù)字,,而10億肯定要比8億好,因?yàn)樗鼘?duì)潛在客戶,、員工和媒體來(lái)說(shuō)都是一個(gè)心理上的門檻,。”

????Slack公司很輕易地就說(shuō)服投資者同意了10億美元的估值,。巴特菲爾德只想融資1億美元,,但各方承諾給他的投資達(dá)到2億美元,最終這輪融資以1.2億美元告終,。在獲得這筆資金三個(gè)月后,,Slack公司的客戶、營(yíng)收和用戶都翻了一番,。巴特菲爾德認(rèn)為,,在接下來(lái)的四個(gè)月里,這些指標(biāo)還將再翻一番,。

????巴特菲爾德表示,,目前Slack公司只花掉了大約1%的融資額。他相信,即便經(jīng)濟(jì)再次惡化,,Slack公司也會(huì)安然無(wú)恙,。他表示:“我們基本能夠抵御任何風(fēng)暴。如果Slack公司真的陷入了麻煩,,除非是行星撞地球了,。”(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng))

????譯者:樸成奎

????審校:任文科

????If any company embodies the Age of the Unicorn (the subject of Fortune’s latest cover story), it’s Slack.

????The business software maker can easily serve as an example of why we’re in a tech bubble. Its namesake product is only eight months old and the company is worth $1 billion. How is that even possible? Is money even real in Silicon Valley?

????But Slack just as easily serves as an example of how big an opportunity there is. Slack has grown as much as 7% each week since it launched—a pace large companies aspire to hit each year—adding thousands of new users who pay for the service. The company has 100 employees and it’s only burning $100,000 per month. Sure, it’s not even a year old. But it’s clearly going to be huge.

????This is how you get to $1 billion so quickly.

????After ignoring daily inquiries from venture capitalists all summer, Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield decided in September to take a week’s worth of investor meetings, “to see where things were at.” Slack had launched in February, a year after the company shut down a gaming product that never took off. The new product, a collaboration tool for desk workers, was an immediate hit. By April, Slack’s early traction was enough for it to raise $42.8 million, valuing the company at $250 million.

????The news stoked the hype around Slack. Venture capitalists witnessed its rapid adoption at their portfolio companies. The emails from investors had swelled to 10 new funding offers per week. Sometimes it from was investors Butterfield knew. (He had previously co-founded the photo-sharing site Flickr, which sold to Yahoo in 2005.) Often they were from complete strangers hoping he’d take their money.

????Slack didn’t need the money, but Butterfield decided to test the waters because he believed this era of easy venture capital high valuations would not last forever. “I’m one of those people who think the other shoe has yet to drop from 2008,” he says. “I lost a shitload of money in 2008, and I saw the fundraising environment tighten up. I’m aware of the cycle. It’s difficult to call a top, but it’s pretty obvious we’re far from the bottom.”

????There’s another, slightly less rational reason Butterfield decided to raise more money: He wanted a $1 billion valuation. If Slack couldn’t get that, he wouldn’t raise anything. The cachet of the figure is meaningful in an intangible way, he says. It means “we’re a part of that conversation about companies worth $1 billion.”

????He elaborates: “It’s definitely a psychological threshold and it helps for certain kinds of customers. When [we’re] negotiating with a Fortune 500 company on legal terms of service for some detail about what sort of deal they will get in the third year, then having the comfort of knowing we’re highly valued and financially secure, that really helps.”

????A billion dollars goes a long way with big hires, too. “There is a class of employees who are more risk-averse and work at some company like Google or Facebook and they have a mortgage and kids,” he says. “It helps a lot of those kinds of people as well.”

????But is the $1 billion valuation actually based on any real metrics? Were any numbers crunched, any spreadsheets analyzed, or any public comps selected? Not really. “There are fairly precise methods for putting a value on future cash flow given steady business,” Butterfield says. “We’re not in that position, obviously.” Put another way: Slack is growing too quickly for projections. At its last public announcement, 45,000 teams with 365,000 daily active users were paying to use Slack. “Every single day except holidays is a record for that day,” he says. “Every Tuesday is the best Tuesday we’ve had.”

????So why not pick the big, round number that helps with customers and recruiting? Butterfield acknowledges there’s quite a bit of growth baked into Slack’s valuation. “You have to choose some numbers,” he says. “One billion is better than $800 million because it’s the psychological threshold for potential customers, employees, and the press.”

????Slack had no problem getting investors to agree to the $1 billion valuation, by the way. Butterfield only wanted to raise $100 million; he ended up with $200 million in commitments and closed the round at $120 million. In the three months since raising the money, Slack has just about doubled everything—customers, revenue, users—and Butterfield expects it will repeat the feat in the next four months.

????So far Slack has only spent around 1% of the money it raised, Butterfield says. He’s confident that even if the economy turns south, Slack will be fine. “We’re able to weather pretty much any storm,” he says. “You’d have to be in a meteors-hitting-the-earth scenario before Slack as a business would get into trouble.”

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