無(wú)人駕駛汽車(chē)離我們有多遠(yuǎn)?
????如今奧迪和其他很多品牌可能都搭載了自適應(yīng)巡航控制系統(tǒng)這類(lèi)配置,,能讓汽車(chē)與前車(chē)保持安全距離,,同時(shí)維持勻速行駛。還有幾個(gè)品牌采用了動(dòng)態(tài)車(chē)道輔助系統(tǒng),,車(chē)輛無(wú)意中偏離車(chē)道時(shí)能發(fā)出預(yù)警,,同時(shí)輕輕地讓車(chē)回到正確的車(chē)道上。 ????在大量傳感器,、各種天氣條件,、路況變化、各種行人和其他車(chē)輛并存的情況下——機(jī)器人邏輯必須能安全及時(shí)地做出轉(zhuǎn)彎,、加速和剎車(chē)的決定,。而相關(guān)的軟硬件,以及處理所有這些信息的算法現(xiàn)在都日益便宜,、小型化并且運(yùn)算速度更快,。去年奧迪試驗(yàn)車(chē)輛的后備箱里還塞滿(mǎn)了控制系統(tǒng);而今年,,作為車(chē)輛大腦,、位于儀表板上的定制芯片只有一本書(shū)那么大。 ????現(xiàn)在,,美國(guó)各州和聯(lián)邦政府的監(jiān)管者還是得決定在什么情況下可以允許采用這些所謂的自動(dòng)系統(tǒng),?;蛘哒f(shuō),如果這些系統(tǒng)確實(shí)被認(rèn)為可使汽車(chē)更安全的話(huà),,是否應(yīng)要求廠商都標(biāo)配自適應(yīng)巡航控制或車(chē)道輔助系統(tǒng),。 ????如今的汽車(chē)保險(xiǎn)流程非常簡(jiǎn)單。但是,,如果自動(dòng)駕駛汽車(chē)撞了行人怎么辦,?或者說(shuō),如果卡車(chē)撞了自動(dòng)駕駛汽車(chē)又怎么辦,?一旦自動(dòng)駕駛汽車(chē)變得日益普及,,實(shí)際情況就會(huì)告訴我們到底會(huì)發(fā)生多少事故。保險(xiǎn)精算師手里有統(tǒng)計(jì)工具,,能算出這些事故會(huì)造成多大損失,,也能算出每個(gè)人要付多少保險(xiǎn)費(fèi)。 ????至于說(shuō)法律責(zé)任,,奧迪新聞發(fā)布會(huì)的一個(gè)問(wèn)題是這么概括的:“如果一輛沒(méi)有駕駛者的車(chē)出了事故,,到底該誰(shuí)負(fù)責(zé):司機(jī)?車(chē)主,?還是奧迪,?”沒(méi)人有確切答案。但可以肯定的是,,無(wú)人駕駛汽車(chē)出事的概率會(huì)比傳統(tǒng)汽車(chē)要低——否則干嘛要研發(fā)它們呢,?(財(cái)富中文網(wǎng)) ????譯者:清遠(yuǎn)??? |
????Today's Audis and many other brands already may be equipped with features like adaptive cruise control that keeps a car a safe distance and constant speed behind cars ahead. Several have dynamic lane assist, which warn when a car is leaving a lane inadvertently -- and can gently steer the car back. ????Given a multitude of sensors, weather conditions, road changes, pedestrians, and other vehicles -- robotic logic must be able to decide safely and instantaneously whether to turn, accelerate, or brake. The software, hardware, and algorithms that sift all this information are getting cheaper, smaller, and faster. Last year, the control systems filled the trunk of an Audi vehicle; this year, custom chips that function as the brain sit on a board about the size of a book. ????State and federal regulators still must decide under what circumstances to permit so-called autonomous systems or, perhaps, whether to mandate features like adaptive cruise control or lane assist, if they are deemed to make automobile travel more safe. ????Auto insurance today is a very straightforward process. But what about when a piloted car hits a pedestrian? Or when a truck hits a piloted car? Once piloted driving becomes more common, real-world experience will show how many accidents happen. Actuaries have statistical tools for assessing how much accidents will cost and, therefore, how much everyone will pay in insurance premiums. ????As for legal responsibility, a question at an Audi press conference summed it up this way: "If a car without a driver has an accident, who is responsible: the driver? The owner of the car? Audi?" No one has answered the questions definitively, but it's a good bet that driverless cars will be involved in far fewer accidents than ones with -- otherwise, why have them? |