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美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)主席提名之爭(zhēng):怎樣捍衛(wèi)薩默斯

美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)主席提名之爭(zhēng):怎樣捍衛(wèi)薩默斯

Nina Easton 2013-09-10
報(bào)道稱(chēng)薩默斯有望獲得總統(tǒng)的提名,,成為下一任美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)主席,。如果奧巴馬堅(jiān)持自己的選擇,他可以從幾個(gè)方面著手來(lái)回應(yīng)自由派的質(zhì)疑。至于質(zhì)疑薩默斯是男性主義至上的人,奧巴馬只需要抬出Facebook首席運(yùn)營(yíng)官謝麗爾?桑德伯格。這位新時(shí)期的女權(quán)主義者一直把薩默斯看成自己的導(dǎo)師,。
????消息人士稱(chēng),拉里?薩默斯依然很有希望獲得奧巴馬的提名,,出任美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)下一任主席,,而這個(gè)提議很可能會(huì)遭到自由派廣泛的質(zhì)疑。
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????他是潛在總統(tǒng)提名候選人中的惡靈弗萊迪嗎,?(好萊塢電影中的變態(tài)惡魔殺手,,制造噩夢(mèng)殺死他人——譯注)自由派人士、女權(quán)主義者以及他蔑視的老對(duì)手們?cè)疽詾?,他們已?jīng)摧毀了拉里?薩默斯出任美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)(Federal Reserve)主席的企圖,。但他又回來(lái)了,在女性執(zhí)掌美國(guó)貨幣供應(yīng)大權(quán)的夢(mèng)境中徘徊不去,。

????白宮消息靈通人士告訴《華盛頓郵報(bào)》(Washington Post)稱(chēng),,薩默斯仍有希望接替即將離任的本?伯南克——甚至還有人表示,他在總統(tǒng)提名的候選人中高居榜首,。如果薩默斯獲得提名,,批評(píng)人士會(huì)感到震驚。這些人是構(gòu)成奧巴馬自由派基礎(chǔ)的核心,,他們一直推舉的是美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)副主席詹尼特?耶倫,。而且,還不只是自由派活動(dòng)人士:根據(jù)路透社(Reuters)在經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家中進(jìn)行的一項(xiàng)誰(shuí)應(yīng)成為下屆美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)主席的調(diào)查,,耶倫輕松擊敗薩默斯,。

????《華盛頓郵報(bào)》等表示,薩默斯仍在候選名單中,,很大程度上是由于他和美國(guó)總統(tǒng)奧巴馬關(guān)系密切,,以及他作為經(jīng)濟(jì)顧問(wèn),曾經(jīng)指引茫然的新政府度過(guò)了一場(chǎng)大衰退早期的黑暗時(shí)光。薩默斯信奉在困難時(shí)期大膽實(shí)行大規(guī)模的政府措施,。“刺激措施的規(guī)模是不是過(guò)大,?”有一次他問(wèn)我說(shuō),,“這就像是問(wèn)我,我會(huì)不會(huì)減肥減過(guò)頭,?!?/p>

????奧巴馬還欠薩默斯關(guān)鍵的政治分。作為美國(guó)國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)委員會(huì)(National Economic Council)主任,,薩默斯大力支持拯救美國(guó)汽車(chē)業(yè)的舉措,。按他去年在競(jìng)選日的原話(huà),這項(xiàng)決定讓“俄亥俄州和密歇根州的經(jīng)濟(jì)大為不同”,,也讓共和黨候選人米特?羅姆尼在這兩個(gè)州競(jìng)選失利,。

????如果薩默斯獲得任命,白宮或許會(huì)以下列論據(jù)來(lái)回應(yīng)外界的批評(píng)風(fēng)潮:

????-- 批評(píng)人士稱(chēng),,他在上世紀(jì)90年代支持取消金融管制【阻礙管制衍生品的提案獲得通過(guò),,贊成撤銷(xiāo)格拉斯-斯蒂格爾法案(Glass-Steagall)】,為金融危機(jī)創(chuàng)造了條件,。但薩默斯一直以來(lái)都直言批評(píng)房利美(Fannie Mae)和房地美(Freddie Mac),,此兩者據(jù)信是導(dǎo)致金融市場(chǎng)崩潰重要得多的因素。今年早些時(shí)候,,薩默斯在哈佛肯尼迪學(xué)院(Harvard Kennedy School)由我主持的一個(gè)小組論壇上指出:“我一聽(tīng)人們談公私合作(public-private partnership),,我就會(huì)攥緊自己的錢(qián)包。除了房地美,,沒(méi)人比房利美更愛(ài)使用這個(gè)術(shù)語(yǔ),。大合作就相當(dāng)于大災(zāi)難?!?/p>

????(保守派批評(píng)人士可能會(huì)問(wèn),,當(dāng)太陽(yáng)能公司Solyndra獲輸5億美元納稅人的錢(qián)時(shí),薩默斯對(duì)公私合作的質(zhì)疑在哪里,?)

????-- 很多猜測(cè)都圍繞如果薩默斯當(dāng)選主席對(duì)于貨幣政策意味著什么,。但是,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)主席的工作一項(xiàng)關(guān)鍵的內(nèi)容就是預(yù)見(jiàn)將要到來(lái)的危機(jī)——在這一點(diǎn)上,,2008年以前所有的監(jiān)管部門(mén)都失察了,。因此,要警惕白宮將薩默斯冠以(罕有的)未來(lái)災(zāi)難預(yù)言家形象,。2006年時(shí),,他曾經(jīng)擔(dān)心市場(chǎng)承擔(dān)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)水平過(guò)高,他說(shuō):“我們必須害怕的主要是人們壓根就不害怕?!?

????Call him the Freddy Krueger of potential presidential nominees. Liberals, feminists, and plain-old targets of his withering dismissiveness may have thought they destroyed Larry Summers' shot at the Federal Reserve chairmanship. But he's back -- haunting their dreams of seeing stately womanhood at the helm of the nation's money supply.

????White House leakers tell the Washington Post that Summers is still in the running to succeed outgoing Ben Bernanke -- and, by some accounts, even topping the President's list. A Summers nomination would shock and defy vocal critics who form the core of Obama's liberal base and have been pushing Fed Vice Chair Janet Yellen. And it's not just liberal activists: Yellen easily trounced Summers in a Reuters poll of economists asking who should be the next Fed chair.

????The Post and others say Summers remains in the mix largely because of President Obama's close relationship with, and regard for, the economic adviser who guided a new and uncertain administration through the early dark days of a massive recession. Summers is a believer in big, bold government action in the face of hard times. "Could the stimulus be too big?" he once said to me. "That's like asking me if I could lose too much weight."

????Obama also owes Summers critical political points. As National Economic Council director, Summers vigorously backed bailing out the auto industry. It was a decision that, in his own words on election day last year, led to a "very different economy in Ohio and a very different economy in Michigan" -- and a losing battle in both states, he noted, for Republican nominee Mitt Romney.

????If Summers does win the nomination, watch for the White House to counter a powerful storm of criticism with these talking points:

????-- Critics say his support for deregulation in the 1990s -- blocking proposals to regulate derivatives and favoring the elimination of Glass-Steagall -- contributed to the financial crisis. But Summers was long a vocal critic of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, arguably far more important contributors to the collapse. As Summers said at a Harvard Kennedy School panel that I moderated earlier this year: "When I hear people talk about public-private partnerships, I reach for my wallet. No one used the term more than Fannie Mae, unless it was Freddie Mac. Massive collaboration, massive disaster."

????(Conservative critics could ask where Summers' suspicions of public-private partnership were hiding when solar company Solyndra was blowing through half a billion dollars of taxpayer money.)

????-- Much speculation has, rightly, centered on what a Summers chairmanship would mean for monetary policy. But a key part of the Fed chair's job is an ability to foresee crises on the horizon -- something all top regulators dropped the ball on pre-2008. So watch for the White House to position Summers as a (rare) seer of dangers to come. In 2006, he worried about the level of risk-taking with these words: "The main thing we have to fear is lack of fear itself."?

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