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????因此,，盡管“財(cái)政懸崖”的影響是非常真實(shí)的，但它其實(shí)更像是一個(gè)“財(cái)政斜坡”,，他補(bǔ)充說,。斯通更重要的一個(gè)觀點(diǎn)是，良好的決策需要時(shí)間,。如果國(guó)會(huì)議員在財(cái)政懸崖幾周或一個(gè)月之后能夠拿出對(duì)策,，經(jīng)濟(jì)就會(huì)好起來的。

????但這本身依然是一個(gè)相對(duì)較短的時(shí)間窗口。鑒于歐洲和中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的增長(zhǎng)前景并不明朗,，以及美國(guó)債務(wù)上限將于明年2月份到期這一事實(shí),，我們就很容易理解斯通描述的“喘息期”為什么可能不足以緩解投資者的憂慮?；叵胍幌氯ツ?月份在國(guó)會(huì)就聯(lián)邦債務(wù)上限問題匆匆達(dá)成協(xié)議之后市場(chǎng)的反應(yīng)吧,。當(dāng)時(shí),，標(biāo)準(zhǔn)普爾500指數(shù)（Standard & Poor's 500）和道瓊斯工業(yè)平均指數(shù)（Dow Jones Industrial Average ）出現(xiàn)了幾乎兩年以來延續(xù)時(shí)間最長(zhǎng)的連續(xù)下跌勢(shì)頭,，華爾街的這些跡象表明，這項(xiàng)協(xié)議幾乎并未減緩?fù)顿Y者對(duì)于經(jīng)濟(jì)前景的憂慮情緒,。

????從技術(shù)角度來看,，財(cái)政懸崖聽起來或許并不像大多數(shù)人想的那么可怕。但如今的不確定性多得令人難以置信,，市場(chǎng)的寬容度似乎在與日俱減,。

????譯者：任文科

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????So while the implications of a fiscal cliff are very real, it's more like a "fiscal slope," he adds. Stone's bigger point is that good policymaking takes time. If lawmakers go past the fiscal cliff by a few weeks or a month, the economy would be okay.

????But that itself is still a relatively short window. Given the host of economic uncertainties surrounding growth in Europe and China and the fact that the U.S. debt ceiling comes due in February, it's easy to see why the breathing period that Stone describes may not be enough to ease investors' worries. Recall the markets' reaction last August following the rush deal struck over the federal debt ceiling. Wall Street signaled that the deal did little to calm worries about the economy when the Standard & Poor's 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average saw their longest losing streaks in nearly two years.

????Technically, the fiscal cliff may not sound as bad as most think. But these are incredibly uncertain times, and the market looks to be less and less forgiving.